Print Email Facebook Twitter Calibration and validation for the vessel maneuvering prediction (VMP) model using AIS data of vessel encounters Title Calibration and validation for the vessel maneuvering prediction (VMP) model using AIS data of vessel encounters Author Shu, Y. (TU Delft Transport and Planning) Daamen, W. (TU Delft Transport and Planning) Ligteringen, H. (TU Delft Rivers, Ports, Waterways and Dredging Engineering) Wang, M. (TU Delft Transport and Planning) Hoogendoorn, S.P. (TU Delft Transport and Planning) Department Transport and Planning Date 2018-12-01 Abstract The Vessel Maneuvering Prediction (VMP) model, which was developed in a previous work with the aim of predicting the interaction between vessels in ports and waterways, is optimized in this paper by considering the relative position and vessel size (length and beam). The calibration is carried out using AIS data of overtaking vessels in the port of Rotterdam. The sensitivity analysis of the optimal parameters shows the robustness of the calibrated VMP model. For the validation, the optimal parameters are used to simulate the whole path of overtaken vessels and vessels in head-on encounters. Compared to the AIS data, the validation results show that the different deviations in longitudinal direction range from 33 m to 112 m, which is less than 5% of the waterway stretch. Both the calibration and validation show that the VMP model has the potential to simulate vessel traffic in ports and waterways. Subject CalibrationHead-on encounterOvertaking encounterThe VMP modelValidation To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:34b8397c-0204-4617-be6a-ed9576b895c6 DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2018.09.022 Embargo date 2020-10-06 ISSN 0029-8018 Source Ocean Engineering, 169, 529-538 Part of collection Institutional Repository Document type journal article Rights © 2018 Y. Shu, W. Daamen, H. Ligteringen, M. Wang, S.P. Hoogendoorn Files PDF OE_paper_unmarked.pdf 497.97 KB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:34b8397c-0204-4617-be6a-ed9576b895c6/datastream/OBJ/view