Print Email Facebook Twitter A Simulation-based Analysis of Transition Pathways for the Dutch Electricity System Title A Simulation-based Analysis of Transition Pathways for the Dutch Electricity System Author Yucel, G. Van Daalen, C. Faculty Technology, Policy and Management Department Multi Actor Systems Date 2011-07-25 Abstract Recent developments constitute a backdrop of change for the Dutch electricity system. Institutional change driven by liberalization, changing economical competitiveness of the dominant fuels, new technologies, and changing end-user preferences regarding electricity supply are some examples of these developments. In order to analyze the conjoint impact of such developments on the internal dynamics of the electricity system (grid-based and distributed generation), a simulation model is developed. The simulation experiments with the model indicate the continuation of fossil fuel dominance as the energy source, and a shift from natural gas to coal seems likely in the base case. In other cases, it is seen that a transition away from carbonintensive mode requires significant regulatory intervention, since technological developments and ‘greening’ end-users fail to trigger a system-wide transition. Moreover, it is observed that policies for carbon abatement and renewable generation support are intertwined, and may lead to unintended shifts of abatement costs to endusers. To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:4ae0b839-b7f8-4553-bda5-69cca8c7ea6e Publisher System Dynamics Society ISBN 978-1-935056-08-9 Source Proceedings of the 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Washington, USA, 25-29 July 2011 Part of collection Institutional Repository Document type conference paper Rights (c) 2011 The Author(s) Files PDF Yucel_2011.pdf 1.43 MB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:4ae0b839-b7f8-4553-bda5-69cca8c7ea6e/datastream/OBJ/view