Rapid flood risk screening model for compound flood events in Beira, Mozambique

Rapid flood risk screening model for compound flood events in Beira, Mozambique

van Berchum, E.C. (TU Delft Civil Engineering & Geosciences)
van Ledden, M. (TU Delft Hydraulic Structures and Flood Risk)
Timmermans, Jos (TU Delft Policy Analysis)
Kwakkel, J.H. (TU Delft Policy Analysis)
Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (TU Delft Hydraulic Structures and Flood Risk)

Civil Engineering & Geosciences

2020

Coastal cities combine intensive socioeconomic activities and investments with high exposure to flood hazards. Developing effective strategies to manage flood risk in coastal cities is often a costly and complicated process. In designing strategies, engineers rely on computationally demanding flood simulation models, but they can only compare a limited number of strategies due to computational constraints. This limits the efficacy of standard flood simulation models in the crucial conceptual phase of flood risk management. This paper presents the Flood Risk Reduction Evaluation and Screening (FLORES) model, which provides useful risk information in this early conceptual phase. FLORES rapidly performs numerous simulations and compares the impact of many storms, strategies, and future scenarios. This article presents FLORES and demonstrates its merits in a case study for Beira, Mozambique. Our results demonstrate that expansion of the drainage capacity and strengthening of its coastal protection in the southwest are crucial components of any effective flood risk management strategy for Beira.

http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:6306b1ad-f252-42e3-8c72-ac4592691817

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2633-2020

1561-8633

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20 (10), 2633-2646

Institutional Repository

journal article

© 2020 E.C. van Berchum, M. van Ledden, Jos Timmermans, J.H. Kwakkel, Sebastiaan N. Jonkman