Print Email Facebook Twitter Framework for Dealing with Uncertainty in the Port Planning Process Title Framework for Dealing with Uncertainty in the Port Planning Process Author Eskafi, Majid (University of Iceland) Dastgheib, Ali (IHE Delft Institute for Water Education) Taneja, P. (TU Delft Rivers, Ports, Waterways and Dredging Engineering) Ulfarsson, Gudmundur F. (University of Iceland) Stefansson, Gunnar (University of Iceland) Thorarinsdottir, Ragnheidur I. (University of Iceland) Date 2021 Abstract Ports are complex engineering systems that have always been evolving to satisfy the new or changing demands of stakeholders. However, the ever-growing complexity in port sectors in a volatile environment creates a high degree of uncertainty in port planning projects. This study presents a structured framework to deal with uncertainties in the port planning process. Stakeholder analysis, different methods of addressing uncertain developments, and SWOT analysis were jointly used to develop the framework. Effective actions were planned in response to opportunities and vulnerabilities derived from uncertainties that manifest in a projected lifetime. Face-to-face interviews with key stakeholders and literature review were conducted to identify uncertainties and planning horizons. The framework was applied to the Ports of Isafjordur Network in Iceland. The results show that demand for aquaculture and cruise activities create the main uncertainties for the port network. Uncertainties mainly present opportunities in the short-term horizon, while in the middle-term horizon the port network is confronted with multiple vulnerabilities. The nonlinearity of dealing with uncertainty by application of the framework provides a robust and better plan toward its success in a dynamic world. The framework supports decision making under uncertainty by facilitating adaptive port planning. Subject Adaptive port planningFlexible portIcelandUncertainty To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:68015e9c-049c-471e-91e0-124c8338482c DOI https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WW.1943-5460.0000636 ISSN 0733-950X Source Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering, 147 (3), 05021003-1 - 05021003-18 Bibliographical note Accepted author manuscript Part of collection Institutional Repository Document type journal article Rights © 2021 Majid Eskafi, Ali Dastgheib, P. Taneja, Gudmundur F. Ulfarsson, Gunnar Stefansson, Ragnheidur I. Thorarinsdottir Files PDF Eskafi_et_al._2021_.pdf 799.54 KB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:68015e9c-049c-471e-91e0-124c8338482c/datastream/OBJ/view