Print Email Facebook Twitter Energy Efficiency Valuation Title Energy Efficiency Valuation: Estimating the increase in expected transaction price due to improved energy efficiency in the Dutch housing market Author Groot Beumer, Morris (TU Delft Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science) Contributor Kurowicka, D. (mentor) Parolya, N. (graduation committee) Degree granting institution Delft University of Technology Programme Applied Mathematics Date 2022-09-27 Abstract Recent advancements in causal inference and machine learning research have brought forward methods to estimate effects of interventions from observational data. The augmented inverse probability weighted (AIPW) estimator is such a method, which can be used to obtain estimates of potential outcomes. Potential outcomes are defined as a hypothetical outcome pair {Y^{(1)},Y^{(0)}}, of which only one outcome is observed in the data. Estimation of intervention effects boils down to effectively estimating these potential outcomes.Using the AIPW estimator, we aim to evaluate the average effect of increasing the energy efficiency of houses in the Netherlands on their expected transaction price. Moreover, we investigate how this expected effect changes when we condition on a certain subset of the data.Given that our assumptions hold, we find that on average, the estimated expected increase in transaction price is positive when improving the energy efficiency of a house. Improving an energy inefficient house to moderately energy efficient is expected to increase the transaction price by approximately €97.70,- per m^{2}, while the improvement from moderately energy efficient to energy efficient increases the expected transaction price by approximately €20.96 per m^{2}. In general, older, smaller and more energy inefficient houses increase most in expected transaction price per m^{2 }when their energy efficiency is improved. Subject Random ForestCausal InferenceMachine learningEnergy EfficiencyAugmented Inverse Probability Weighted EstimatorAverage Treatment EffectConditional Average Treatment Effect To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a2529431-5936-44ed-803f-31e58bb5eb8c Part of collection Student theses Document type master thesis Rights © 2022 Morris Groot Beumer Files PDF Thesis_Final_Morris.pdf 8.36 MB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:a2529431-5936-44ed-803f-31e58bb5eb8c/datastream/OBJ/view