Print Email Facebook Twitter Flood Hazard Mapping Title Flood Hazard Mapping: Uncertainty and its Value in the Decision-making Process Author Mukolwe, M.M. (TU Delft Water Resources) Contributor Solomatine, D.P. (promotor) Di Baldassarre, G (promotor) Degree granting institution Delft University of Technology Date 2016-10-04 Abstract Computers are increasingly used in the simulation of natural phenomena such as floods. However, these simulations are based on numerical approximations of equations formalizing our conceptual understanding of flood flows. Thus, model results are intrinsically subject to uncertainty and the use of probabilistic approaches seems more appropriate. Uncertain, probabilistic floodplain maps are widely used in the scientific domain, but still not sufficiently exploited to support the development of flood mitigation strategies. In this thesis the major sources of uncertainty in flood inundation models are analyzed, resulting in the generation of probabilistic floodplain maps. The utility of probabilistic model output is assessed using value of information and the prospect theory. The use of these maps to support decision making in terms of floodplain development under flood hazard threat is demonstrated. Subject uncertaintyprobabilistic flood mapfloodplain planning To reference this document use: https://doi.org/10.4233/uuid:ae8304ba-aecf-4908-a856-f9da08cdf3ed Publisher CRC Press / Balkema - Taylor & Francis Group ISBN 978-1-138-03286-6 Bibliographical note Dissertation submitted in fulfilment of the requirements of the Board for Doctorates of Delft University of Technology and of the Academic Board of the UNESCO-IHE Institute for Water Education. Part of collection Institutional Repository Document type doctoral thesis Rights © 2016 M.M. Mukolwe Files PDF 2016_UNESCO_IHE_PHD_THESI ... OLWE_i.pdf 16.71 MB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:ae8304ba-aecf-4908-a856-f9da08cdf3ed/datastream/OBJ/view