How Gaps are Created during Anticipation of Lane Changes

How Gaps are Created during Anticipation of Lane Changes

Chen, Kequan (Southeast University)
Knoop, V.L. (TU Delft Transport and Planning)
Liu, Pan (Southeast University)
Li, Zhibin (Southeast University)
Wang, Yuxuan (Southeast University)

2023

The pre-insertion process called anticipation is an essential component of a lane-changing manoeuvre. There is little empirical research regarding the impact of anticipation. Thus, this paper aims to explore the behaviour of the new follower (NF) in the target lane when it encounters anticipation by using new trajectory datasets. The changing magnitude of the reaction pattern is proposed to identify the NF’s behaviour. We find that the anticipation significantly affects the NF’s movement in terms of gap creation and speed reduction. Then, we conduct a detailed analysis of critical variables to reveal their relationship with the NF’s behaviour. Following this, we develop binary logistic models to predict the NF’s behaviour, resulting in a good performance. It also suggests that the NF’s behaviour is highly related to the anticipation-related variables. The transferability test results show that this model can be directly used in different locations and times with satisfactory accuracy.

Anticipation behavilour
lane-changing impact
car-following behaviour
microscopic trajectory data

http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:22efc57b-9411-4b75-b2b0-274858635660

https://doi.org/10.1080/21680566.2022.2152129

2023-07-01

2168-0566

Transportmetrica B: Transport Dynamics, 11 (1), 958-978

Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository 'You share, we take care!' - Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.

Institutional Repository

journal article

© 2023 Kequan Chen, V.L. Knoop, Pan Liu, Zhibin Li, Yuxuan Wang