Searched for: +
(1 - 20 of 33)

Pages

List view
Grid view
document
Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Slinger, J.H. (author)
Coastal communities dependent upon groundwater resources for drinking water and irrigation are vulnerable to salinization of the groundwater reserve. The increasing uncertainty associated with changing climatic conditions, population and economic development, and technological advances in agriculture, water treatment, and water purification,...
conference paper 2011
document
Slinger, J.H. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Van der Niet, M. (author)
In this paper we address the role of reflective skills in the development and training of new System Dynamics modelers at the tertiary education level. Over the last two years students at the Delft University of Technology have written a reflective essay on their experiences with the conceptualization, formulation, validation and use of a System...
conference paper 2008
document
Meyers, W.K. (author), Slinger, J.H. (author), Pruyt, E. (author), Yucel, G. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)
There is little consensus on the skills set required of a system dynamics practitioner. In this paper we use the teaching approach and learning goals of the system dynamics courses at the Delft University of Technology as a starting point to explore the development of system dynamics modeling skills. System dynamics is embedded in the curriculum...
conference paper 2010
document
Eker, S. (author), Djong, J. (author), Leston, D. (author)
Rabies is a viral fatal disease transmitted to humans mainly from dogs. Human deaths due to rabies have been increasing in recent years, especially in Africa and Asia where socioeconomic factors play an important role in the revival of the epidemic. In the current situation, it is unknown how the epidemic will evolve and which policies can...
conference paper 2014
document
Pruyt, E. (author), Segers, J. (author), Oruc, S. (author)
In this ever more complex, interconnected, and uncertain world, leadership is needed more than ever. But the literature and most leaders largely ignore dynamic complexity and deep uncertainty: only futures characterized by ever faster change, ever more (required) flexibility, and ever more scarcity (especially in terms of highly qualified human...
conference paper 2011
document
Rose, A.C. (author)
This report presents a first look study at the field of System Dynamics. The objective of the study is to perform a model-based policy analysis in order to investigate the future advancement of the System Dynamics field. The aim of this investigation is to determine what this advancement should look like and how that can be accomplished. Several...
conference paper 2014
document
Slinger, J.H. (author)
At the 2008 System Dynamics Conference in Athens a survey of the understanding and expectations of conference participants regarding model analysis was conducted. Respondents included both those active in research on formal model analysis methods and those only vaguely familiar with the term. Results from the survey are presented and discussed...
conference paper 2009
document
Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)
Bio-methane is a renewable gas option that can be injected to the natural gas grids to increase the sustainability of the energy system and to deal with natural gas supply problems. However, being based on several factors such as resource availability, competition between bio-methane and electricity sectors for biogas and biomass supply, demand,...
conference paper 2014
document
Mannaerts, A. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author), Van Luipen, J. (author), Meijer, S.A. (author)
With a sizeable expected growth of demand for rail transport in the Netherlands in the coming decades, and limited resources for expansion of the rail network, intensified utilization of the infrastructure is to be expected. To adequately manage this growth, appropriate tools for policy analysis are needed. The possibilities and pitfalls of...
conference paper 2013
document
Eker, S. (author), Slinger, J.H. (author), Yucel, G. (author)
Automated sensitivity analysis approaches in system dynamics focus primarily on model parameters. Although table functions are often subjectively approximated, they do not form the focus of most sensitivity analyses. Recently, a promising approach that allows automation of sensitivity analysis on functions was proposed by Hearne (2010), but the...
conference paper
document
Pruyt, E. (author), Kwakkel, J. (author), Yucel, G. (author), Hamarat, C. (author)
This paper illustrates the use of Exploratory System Dynamics Modeling and Analysis – a multi-method combining System Dynamics and Exploratory Modeling and Analysis to explore and analyze uncertain dynamic issues and test deep policy robustness. This paper gives an overview of the current state of this multi-method by means of an illustration....
conference paper 2011
document
Pruyt, E. (author)
This paper presents a simple experimental System Dynamics model of the underlying value and stock market value of a bank to analyze a loss of trust the a bank. The System Dynamics model was developed on 28 September 2008 –the day the governments of the Benelux countries met in a great hurry to rescue the Fortis bank– in order to gain a better...
conference paper 2009
document
Pruyt, E. (author), Logtens, T. (author), Gijsbers, G. (author)
Plausible dynamics of a major demographic shift –(societal) aging– is studied in this paper, both from a global perspective and from a national perspective. Several economic, political and social implications of aging and aging-related demographic shifts are explored using System Dynamics models as scenario generators for Exploratory System...
conference paper 2011
document
Pruyt, E. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author)
Integrated risk-capability analysis methodologies for dealing with increasing degrees of complexity and deep uncertainty are urgently needed in an ever more complex and uncertain world. Although scenario approaches, risk assessment methods, and capability analysis methods are used, few organizations and nations use truly integrated risk...
conference paper 2012
document
Papachristos, G. (author)
Electric appliances are an indispensable part of a household and through their sheer number contribute substantially to its electricity consumption. This paper explores potential reductions in residential appliance electricity consumption in the Netherlands with smart meters, using two perspectives: a bottom up engineering approach and a...
conference paper 2014
document
Pruyt, E. (author), Slinger, J.H. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author), Yucel, G. (author), Thissen, W.A.H. (author)
This paper deals with System Dynamics education at Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands. It focuses more specifically on the quadruple jump approach towards dealing with real-world dynamic complexity. The paper starts with an overview of the System Dynamics courses, situated within the broader curriculum. Then recent innovations in...
conference paper 2009
document
Lauwers, L. (author), Pruyt, E. (author), Hens, L. (author), Brans, J.p. (author)
This paper presents a system dynamics model to study the spread of HIV/AIDS in Southern Africa. The HIV/AIDS model includes important feedback mechanisms of the spread of HIV/AIDS, and partly explains the dynamics of the epidemic in a representative Southern African country. The HIV/AIDS model indicates that prevention to reduce risk behavior is...
conference paper 2008
document
Pruyt, E. (author), De Sitter, G. (author)
conference paper 2008
document
Pruyt, E. (author), Coumou, J. (author)
Lyme disease due to infection with Lyme borreliosis poses an uncertain dynamic threat to the Dutch and their public health system. This risk was used to develop and illustrate two variants of a National Risk Assessment approaches for slumbering/latent risks. This paper explains and illustrates the System Dynamics-based variant using the societal...
conference paper 2012
document
Pruyt, E. (author)
conference paper 2008
Searched for: +
(1 - 20 of 33)

Pages

List view
Grid view