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Bruijn, Willem E.L. (author), Rip, Jolien (author), Hendriks, Antoon J.H. (author), van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
A marine project consists of series of operations, with each operation subject to a predefined operational limit and duration. If actual weather conditions exceed the operational limit, the operation cannot be executed and hence downtime occurs. An accurate assessment of uncertainties and the expected downtime during a marine project is...
journal article 2019
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Ozer, I.E. (author), Rikkert, S.J.H. (author), van Leijen, F.J. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Hanssen, R.F. (author)
We hebben in Nederland ongeveer 20.000 km waterkeringen en het is kostbaar en tijdrovend om deze regelmatig fysiek te inspecteren. Met radarsatellieten wordt deformatie op meer plekken, vaker, en nauwkeuriger gemeten. Hierdoor kan het gedrag van keringen continu worden gemonitord en kan afwijkend gedrag vroegtijdig worden gedetecteerd. Deze...
journal article 2019
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Vuik, V. (author), Borsje, Bas W. (author), Willemsen, Pim W.J.M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
Flood risks are increasing worldwide due to climate change and ongoing economic and demographic development in coastal areas. Salt marshes can function as vegetated foreshores that reduce wave loads on coastal structures such as dikes and dams, thereby mitigating current and future flood risk. This paper aims to quantify long-term (100 years)...
journal article 2019
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Korswagen Eguren, P.A. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Terwel, K.C. (author)
Evaluating and predicting structural damage from multi-hazards is a complex task mainly due to the varying ways in which hazards affect structures. Also, different damage scales that employ different parameters and criteria are used for evaluating the hazards, making a connection between the damage assessment of two or more hazards difficult....
journal article 2019
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Tieleman, O.C. (author), Tsouvalas, A. (author), Hofland, B. (author), Peng, Y. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
A model is developed to predict bending vibrations of flood gates with fluid on both sides. The liquid flow is three-dimensional and the gate is represented as a thin plate. The fluid response is considered within the linear potential flow theory including the effect of compressibility and the generation of free surface waves. This way, the...
journal article 2019
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Roubos, A.A. (author), Allaix, D. L. (author), Steenbergen, Raphael D.J.M. (author), Fischer, K (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
General frameworks for reliability differentiation have evolved over time and are mainly developed for new buildings. However, recommendations for existing quay walls are lacking. In this study target reliability indices for assessing existing quay walls were derived by economic optimisation and by evaluating the Life Quality Index criterion ...
conference paper 2019
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Lendering, K.T. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Ledden, Mathijs (author), Vrijling, J.K. (author)
Flood risk reduction can be provided by interventions such as raising land or constructing flood defences. This paper introduces an approach to optimise the selection of risk reduction strategies. It expands existing economic optimization approaches for flood defences, by introducing (largely) analytical formulations to include the effects of...
journal article 2019
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Ozer, I.E. (author), Rikkert, S.J.H. (author), van Leijen, F.J. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Hanssen, R.F. (author)
Levees are critical in providing protection against catastrophic flood events, and thus require continuous monitoring. Current levee inspection methods rely on limited information obtained by visual inspection, resulting in infrequent, localized, mostly qualitative and subjective assessments. This hampers the timely detection of problematic...
journal article 2019
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Oudenbroek, Kevin (author), Naderi, Nader (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), Yang, Y. (author), van der Veen, C. (author), Uijttewaal, W.S.J. (author), Moriguchi, Shuji (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
In countries with steep rivers, such as Japan and the United States, bridges fail on an annual basis. Bridges on spread footings are especially susceptible to failure by hydrodynamic loading, often exacerbated by debris damming. Here, such failures are investigated via small scale model laboratory experiments and full scale numerical...
journal article 2018
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Ozer, I.E. (author), van Leijen, F.J. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Hanssen, R.F. (author)
Levees are critical systems in safeguarding an area against catastrophic flooding events with potential fatalities and economic losses. Current monitoring methods of levees highly rely on expert judgement, resulting in infrequent and subjective assessments of their status. Satellite radar imaging, in particular using interferometry (InSAR),...
journal article 2018
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Roubos, A.A. (author), Steenbergen, Raphael D.J.M. (author), Schweckendiek, T. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
Design codes and standards rely on generalised target reliability indices. It is unclear, however, whether these indices are applicable to the specific risk-profile of marine structures. In this study, target reliability indices for quay walls were derived from various risk acceptance criteria, such as economic optimisation, individual risk ...
journal article 2018
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van Berchum, E.C. (author), Mobley, William (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Timmermans, Johannes S. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Brody, S.D. (author)
Large, complex coastal regions often require a combination of interventions to lower the risk of flooding to an acceptable level. In practice, a limited number of strategies are considered and interdependencies between interventions are often simplified. This paper presents the Multiple Lines of Defence Optimization System (MODOS)‐model. This...
journal article 2018
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Vuik, V. (author), van Vuren, Saskia (author), Borsje, Bas W. (author), van Wesenbeeck, B.K. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
Vegetated foreshores adjacent to engineered structures (so-called hybrid flood defenses), are considered to have high potential in reducing flood risk, even in the face of sea level rise and increasing storminess. However, foreshores such as salt marshes and mangrove forests are generally characterized by relatively strong temporal and...
journal article 2018
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Lendering, K.T. (author), Sebastian, Antonia (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Kok, M. (author)
The application of risk-based approaches for the design of flood infrastructure has become increasingly common in flood management. This approach, based on risk reduction and reliability, is used to assess the performance of conventional interventions (e.g., flood defences and dams) and to support decisions regarding their implementation....
journal article 2018
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Paprotny, D. (author), Sebastian, Antonia (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
Adverse consequences of floods change in time and are influenced by both natural and socio-economic trends and interactions. In Europe, previous studies of historical flood losses corrected for demographic and economic growth (‘normalized’) have been limited in temporal and spatial extent, leading to an incomplete representation of trends in...
journal article 2018
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Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Vousdoukas, Michalis I. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Nikulin, G (author)
Coastal flood maps covering the whole European continent have become available in recent years. However, their ability to complement or replace high-resolution local flood maps was not investigated so far. In this paper we compare pan-European estimates of extreme sea levels and coastal flood extents at given return periods with observations and...
journal article 2018
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Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Voortman, H.G. (author), Klerk, W.J. (author), van Vuren, S. (author)
This article highlights recent developments in flood risk management in the Netherlands and presents approaches for reliability analysis and asset management for flood defences and hydraulic infrastructure. The functioning of this infrastructure is of great importance for the country as large parts of it are prone to flooding. Based on a...
journal article 2018
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Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
The influence of social and economic change on the consequences of natural hazards has been a matter of much interest recently. However, there is a lack of comprehensive, high-resolution data on historical changes in land use, population or assets available to study this topic. Here, we present HANZE database, or ‘Historical Analysis of Natural...
journal article 2018
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Vuik, V. (author), Suh Heo, H.Y. (author), Zhu, Zhenchang (author), Borsje, Bas W. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
One of the services provided by coastal ecosystems is wave attenuation by vegetation, and subsequent reduction of wave loads on flood defense structures. Therefore, stability of vegetation under wave forcing is an important factor to consider. This paper presents a model which determines the wave load that plant stems can withstand before...
journal article 2018
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Bouwer, LM (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
Changes in society's vulnerability to natural hazards are important to understand, as they determine current and future risks, and the need to improve protection. Very large impacts including high numbers of fatalities occur due to single storm surge flood events. Here, we report on impacts of global coastal storm surge events since the year...
journal article 2018
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