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Groothuizen, R.J.P. (author)In this report several methods for modeling uncertainty in expert systems are discussed. An overview is given of methods used in various existing expert systems and an attempt is made to put these methods into their proper perspective.report 1986
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Delrieu, G. (author)A report describing a method for uncertainty and sensitvity analysis that can be applied within the context of flood risk analysisreport 2006
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Exbrayat, J. F. (author), Breuer, L. (author), Viney, N. R. (author), Seibert, J. (author), Wrede, S. (author), Frede, H. G. (author)Model predictions of biogeochemical fluxes on the landscape scale are highly uncertain, both with respect to stochastic (parameter) and structural uncertainty. The idea of our ensemble modelling approach is to reduce the predictive uncertainty by covering part of the parameter and model structural uncertainty. In this study 4 different models...conference paper 2009
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Brenner, T. (author), Werker, C. (author)When advising policy we face the fundamental problem that economic processes are connected with uncertainty and thus policy can err. In this paper we show how the use of simulation models can reduce policy errors. We suggest that policy is best based on socalled abductive simulation models, which help to better understand how policy measures can...journal article 2009
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Hall, J. (author)Task 20 has contributed to the methods and application of uncertainty analysis by targeting novel areas of uncertainty analysis and decision support. The research fell into four sub-tasks: 1) Development of an overall framework for uncertainty analysis in flood risk management decisions. 2) Development of new methods to deal with the uncertainty...report 2009
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Gouldby, B. (author)A report describing a method for uncertainty and sensitvity analysis that can be applied within the context of flood risk analysisreport 2009
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Kanning, W. (author)Uncertainties are introduced in probabilistic risk analysis when we deal with parameters that are not deterministic (exactly known) but that are unknown instead, hence uncertain. This report describes how uncertainties influence the reliability of flood defence systems. The purpose of the study is to identify all uncertainties that influence the...report 2009
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Ruijven, B. (author), Van der Sluijs, J.P. (author), Van Vuuren, D.P. (author), Janssen, P. (author), Heuberger, P.S.C. (author), De Vries, B. (author)Uncertainties in energy demand modelling originate from both limited understanding of the real-world system and a lack of data for model development, calibration and validation. These uncertainties allow for the development of different models, but also leave room for different calibrations of a single model. Here, an automated model calibration...journal article 2009
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Kroon-van Loon, P.S. (author)About 30% of the increased greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) are related to land use changes and agricultural activities. In order to select effective measures, knowledge is required about GHG emissions from these ecosystems and how these emissions are influenced by management and...doctoral thesis 2010
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Jacobs, J.F. (author), Van de Poel, I. (author), Osseweijer, P. (author)The risks of novel technologies, such as nano(bio)technology cannot be fully assessed due to the existing uncertainties surrounding their introduction into society. Consequently, the introduction of innovative technologies can be conceptualised as a societal experiment, which is a helpful approach to evaluate moral acceptability. This approach...journal article 2010
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Karkhaneh, A. (author)Decision-making for flood defense while facing a considerable change in driving forces demands other methods than the traditional approach of forecasting and optimal policy selection. Exploratory modeling can be a candidate for helping adaptive policymaking to deal with the uncertainties that confront decision-makers. In adaptive policymaking...master thesis 2011
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Sigurdsson-Norddahl, S. (author)Economic importance for the indium mineral has been growing in recent years and indium is usually referred to as one of the technology minerals. High tech industries use indium in their application because of the special properties: transparency and electrical conductivity. Indium demand has more than doubled in the last decade and is expected...master thesis 2011
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- Cozijnsen, R.L. (author) master thesis 2012
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Raso, L. (author)Water systems consist of natural and man-made objects serving multiple essential purposes. They are affected by many types of meteorological disturbances. In order to deal with these disturbances and to serve the desired objectives, infrastructures have been built and managed by societies for specific purposes. Given a water system, and its...doctoral thesis 2013
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Dietz, J.J. (author)Europe’s transport sector is predominantly fuelled by oil products, fuels which are finite and emit large amounts of greenhouse gasses (i.e. CO2 and NOx) upon combustion. Therefore the sector is faced with stricter emission control regulations in the coming decade. The use of liquefied natural gas (LNG) as a fuel has shown prosperous results for...master thesis 2014
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Vermerris, P.M.J.J. (author)Port infrastructure today is planned under more and more conditions of uncertainty, increasing the challenge to design a well-functioning construction for its entire technical lifetime. The Port of Rotterdam is searching for a strategy to close the timespan between commercial (functional)- and technical lifetime of for (customer-) infrastructure...master thesis 2014
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Biljecki, F. (author), Ledoux, H. (author), Stoter, J. (author)This paper describes the analysis of the propagation of positional uncertainty in 3D city models to the uncertainty in the computation of their volumes. Current work related to error propagation in GIS is limited to 2D data and 2D GIS operations, especially of rasters. In this research we have (1) developed two engines, one that generates random...conference paper 2014
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Roadley-Battin, P.D. (author)A company’s ability to innovate is widely recognized as the core driver of growth, performance and valuation. However, innovation is an expensive and risky endeavor and current method and management tools have been widely criticized. The software industry has radically changed over the last decade. Approaches, such as soft- launching early-stage...master thesis 2014
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Kuipers, J. (author)In this Master of Science thesis, the author introduces a new method to explore the consequences of uncertainty in System Dynamics (SD) models. This is important, as it allows the SD field to provide more robust decision support. The current methods search for relations between uncertainties and model outputs, without using the model equations....master thesis 2014
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- Onencan, A.M. (author), Enserink, B. (author), Kortmann, Rens (author), Thissen, W.A.H. (author) abstract 2015