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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)Bio-methane is a renewable gas option that can be injected to the natural gas grids to increase the sustainability of the energy system and to deal with natural gas supply problems. However, being based on several factors such as resource availability, competition between bio-methane and electricity sectors for biogas and biomass supply, demand,...conference paper 2014
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)Import dependency and the extent of renewable gas production are two outcomes of interest concerning the future of gas supply in the Netherlands. Due to the complexity of internal mechanisms and uncertainties associated with the natural gas production, the production of renewable gases, and the demand for gas, the future of these two outcomes of...conference paper 2013
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Marques, S.H. (author), Beer, M. (author), Gomes, A.T. (author), Henriques, A.A. (author)The first applications of nonprobabilistic interval analysis in geotechnical engineering have been recently explored. In fact, the solution of practical problems in this field often requires judgement based on limited data and interval analysis has become a research area formally motivated by input information characterised by imprecision....conference paper 2015
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Ten Veldhuis, J.A.E. (author), Clemens, F.H.L.R. (author), Van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author)Traditional methods to evaluate flood risk mostly focus on storm events as the main cause of flooding. Fault tree analysis is a technique that is able to model all potential causes of flooding and to quantify both the overall probability of flooding and the contributions of all causes of flooding to the overall flood probability. This paper...conference paper 2008
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Wang, L. (author), Van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author), Vrijling, J.K. (author), Ranasinghe, R.W.M.R.J.B. (author), Maskey, S. (author)To guarantee a safe flood defence in a changing environment, the adaptation to climate change needs to be considered in the design of river dikes. However, the large uncertainty in the projections of future climate leads to varied estimations of future flood probability. How to cope with the uncertainties in future flood probability under...conference paper 2013
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Haasnoot, M. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Walker, W.E. (author)Water management in river deltas is increasingly being challenged by pressures from population growth, sea level rise, increasing variability in river runoffs, and potential climate change. Adaptation to such changes is not only determined by what is known or anticipated at present, but also by what will be experienced and learned as the future...conference paper 2012
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Mergili, M. (author), Marchesini, I. (author), Rossi, M. (author), Alvioli, M. (author), Schneider-Muntau, B. (author), Cardinali, M. (author), Ardizzone, F. (author), Fiorucci, F. (author), Valigi, D. (author), Santangelo, M. (author), Bucci, F. (author), Guzzetti, F. (author)The GIS-based open source software r.slope.stability computes broad-scale spatial overviews of shallow and deep-seated slope stability through physically-based modelling. We focus on the landslide-prone 90 km2 Collazzone area, central Italy, exploiting a comprehensive set of lithological, geotechnical and landslide inventory data available for...conference paper 2015
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Yoshida, I. (author), Shuku, T. (author)We sometimes encounter a case in which very small change of computation or experiment condition causes the significant difference in response when strong nonlinearity is involved. Slope failure simulation due to gravity by MPS method is performed to examine feature of uncertainty. The simulation results show that the output uncertainty is...conference paper 2015
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- Herder, P.M. (author), Pulles, K. (author) conference paper 2013
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Roggema, R.E. (author)Current spatial planning and design practice regards urban and rural spatial systems as simple systems. The proposed design strategies are often one-dimensional, one-problem and one-solution oriented. As a consequence, they often decrease the flexibility of urban systems to cope with uncertainty and the occurrence of weather extremes. Spatial...conference paper 2011
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Shuku, T. (author), Nishimura, S-I. (author), Yoshida, I. (author)Strong nonlinear behavior such as slope failure involves large uncertainties. Even if we conduct model tests on slope failure under the same test conditions, we cannot reproduce the same results although the linear behavior can be reproduced with relative ease. This kind of uncertainties is well known as “aleatory uncertainty” and they should be...conference paper 2015
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Auping, W.L. (author), De Jong, S. (author), Pruyt, E. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author)The US’ shale gas revolution, a spectacular increase in natural gas extraction from previously unconventional sources, has led to considerable lower gas prices in North America. This study focusses on consequences of the shale gas revolution on state stability of traditional oil and gas exporting countries in the vicinity of the EU. For this...conference paper 2014
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Nadim, F. (author)This paper presents an overview on how uncertainty and variability of mechanical soil properties are dealt with in offshore site investigation and presents some ideas for utilizing the reliability tools in a more optimal manner for this purpose. Two types of problems are addressed. First, how to extract the maximum amount of information from...conference paper 2015
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)The natural gas production in the Netherlands is estimated to decline significantly in the coming 25 years. This situation has led producers to consider alternatives such as unconventional gas resources which are successfully utilized in the US and debated all over the world. However, despite the substantial initial resource estimates,...conference paper 2012
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Taneja, P. (author), Vellinga, T. (author)In the present turbulent environment, adaptability and robustness belong under the overarching definition of sustainability. Sustainable infrastructures should not only achieve economic, environmental, and social objectives, but should be robust and adaptable under uncertainty. This paper examines the current guidelines for port development and...conference paper 2018
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)Unconventional gas has raised debates all over the world following its considerable contribution to the natural gas production of some countries such as the US. The Netherlands, which is a prominent gas producer in the Western Europe, also considers unconventional resources as an alternative to conventional production, which is estimated to...conference paper 2012
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Eker, S. (author), Djong, J. (author), Leston, D. (author)Rabies is a viral fatal disease transmitted to humans mainly from dogs. Human deaths due to rabies have been increasing in recent years, especially in Africa and Asia where socioeconomic factors play an important role in the revival of the epidemic. In the current situation, it is unknown how the epidemic will evolve and which policies can...conference paper 2014
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Den Heijer, C. (author), Van de Graaff, J. (author), Van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author)Coastal dunes protect low lying coastal areas against the sea. Extreme waves and water levels during severe storms may cause breaching of the dunes. Consequently, serious damage due to flooding and direct wave attack could occur, resulting in loss of life and property. Proper coastal management implies that reinforcement measures will be taken...conference paper 2008
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Van Nooyen, R.R.P. (author), Hrachowitz, M. (author), Kolechkina, A.G. (author)Even without uncertainty about the model structure or parameters, the output of a hydrological model run still contains several sources of uncertainty. These are: measurement errors affecting the input, the transition from continuous time and space to discrete time and space, which causes loss of information about the input, discretization of...conference paper 2014
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Kroon, J. (author), de Schipper, M.A. (author), den Heijer, C. (author), Aarninkhof, S.G.J. (author), van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author)In the present time of sea-level rise and climate change a global shift has occurred toward sandy coastal protection measures and Building with Nature. These type of protection measures impose extra uncertainty on the instantaneous state of the coastal system over time for which present deterministic forecasting techniques are not capable of...conference paper 2017