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Marchau, V. (author), Walker, W. (author), Van Duin, R. (author)
Urban transport is facing an increasing number of problems. Innovative technological solutions have been proposed for many of these problems. The implementation of these solutions, however, is surrounded by many uncertainties—for example, future relevant developments for urban transport demand and supply, the possible consequences of these...
journal article 2009
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Klunder, G. (author), Van Nunen, H. (author)
journal article 2003
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Walker, W.E. (author), Harremoës, P. (author), Rotmans, J. (author), Van der Sluijs, J.P. (author), Van Asselt, M.B.A. (author), Janssen, P. (author), Krayer von Krauss, M.P. (author)
The aim of this paper is to provide a conceptual basis for the systematic treatment of uncertainty in model-based decision support activities such as policy analysis, integrated assessment and risk assessment. It focuses on the uncertainty perceived from the point of view of those providing information to support policy decisions (i.e., the...
journal article 2003
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Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Walker, W.E. (author), Marchau, V.A.W.J. (author)
Airport Strategic Planning (ASP) focuses on the development of plans for the long-term development of an airport. The dominant approach for ASP is Airport Master Planning (AMP). The goal of AMP is to provide a detailed blueprint for how the airport should look in the future, and how it can get there. Since a Master Plan is a static detailed...
journal article 2010
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Ertsen, M.W. (author)
Dealing with uncertainty is key in socio-hydrological analysis. As such, thinking through what uncertainties mean for whom and when is key. This discussion contribution introduces three issues related to defining uncertainties. The first issue deals with the problem of defining uncertainty as a given external reality. The second issue deals with...
journal article 2018
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Qian, K. (author), Chan, E.H.W. (author), Khalid, A.G. (author)
Delivering green building (GB) projects involve some activities that are atypical in comparison with conventional buildings. Such new activities are characterized by uncertainty, and they incur hidden costs that have not been expected nor are they readily appreciated among the stakeholders. This paper develops a typology and chronology to...
journal article 2015
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Zhou, C. (author), van Nooijen, R.R.P. (author), Kolechkina, A.G. (author), Hrachowitz, M. (author)
Several commonly-used nonparametric change-point detection methods are analysed in terms of power, ability and accuracy of the estimated change-point location. The analysis is performed with synthetic data for different sample sizes, two types of change and different magnitudes of change. The methods studied are the Pettitt method, a method...
journal article 2019
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Mouter, N. (author), Holleman, M. (author), Calvert, S.C. (author), Annema, J.A. (author)
An important limitation of Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) is the inherent uncertainty in estimations of future welfare effects. In this paper, we argue that consideration of the ‘price-quality’ dilemma and the ‘communication’ dilemma is useful to explain and improve the handling of uncertainty in CBA. The ‘price-quality’ dilemma refers to the trade...
journal article 2015
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van den Boomen, M. (author), Van der Meulen, Sjoerd (author), Van Ekris, Jonathan (author), Spanjers, Roel (author), Ten Voorde, Olle (author), Mulder, Janwin (author), Blommaart, Peter (author)
<br/>The port of Rotterdam is the largest seaport in Europe. To maintain its position, the harbor will have to anticipate global transitions such as transferring to sustainable energy. Hydrogen is seen as a promising energy carrier; however, future demand is uncertain. The current research investigates decision making under uncertainty and...
journal article 2021
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Wang, Lu (author), Robertson, Amy (author), Jonkman, Jason (author), Kim, Jang (author), Shen, Zhi‐Rong (author), Koop, Arjen (author), Chandramouli, P. (author), Viré, A.C. (author), Ramesh Reddy, L. (author)
Currently, the design of floating offshore wind systems is primarily based on mid-fidelity models with empirical drag forces. The tuning of the model coefficients requires data from either experiments or high-fidelity simulations. As part of the OC6 (Offshore Code Comparison Collaboration, Continued, with Correlation, and unCertainty (OC6) is a...
journal article 2022
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van der Spek, J.E. (author), Bakker, M. (author)
The influence of the length of the calibration period and observation frequency on the predictive uncertainty in time series modeling of groundwater dynamics is investigated. Studied series are from deltaic regions with predominantly shallow groundwater tables in a temperate maritime climate where heads vary due to precipitation and...
journal article 2017
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Kaniewski, J. (author), Wehner, S.D.C. (author)
The goal of two-party cryptography is to enable two parties, Alice and Bob, to solve common tasks without the need for mutual trust. Examples of such tasks are private access to a database, and secure identification. Quantum communication enables security for all of these problems in the noisy-storage model by sending more signals than the...
journal article 2016
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van den Boomen, M. (author), Spaan, M.T.J. (author), Schoenmaker, R. (author), Wolfert, A.R.M. (author)
Managerial flexibility in infrastructure investment and replacement decisions adds value. Real options analysis (ROA) captures this value under uncertain market prices. The concept of ROA is that future unfavourable payoffs can be deferred as soon as more information about market prices becomes available. The popularity of ROA is seen in a...
journal article 2019
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Lepot, M.J. (author), Aubin, Jean Baptiste (author), Clemens, F.H.L.R. (author)
A thorough review has been performed on interpolation methods to fill gaps in time-series, efficiency criteria, and uncertainty quantifications. On one hand, there are numerous available methods: interpolation, regression, autoregressive, machine learning methods, etc. On the other hand, there are many methods and criteria to estimate...
journal article 2017
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Song, Jingkuan (author), Guo, Yuyu (author), Gao, Lianli (author), Li, Xuelong (author), Hanjalic, A. (author), Shen, Heng Tao (author)
Video captioning, in essential, is a complex natural process, which is affected by various uncertainties stemming from video content, subjective judgment, and so on. In this paper, we build on the recent progress in using encoder-decoder framework for video captioning and address what we find to be a critical deficiency of the existing...
journal article 2018
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Zarifsanayei, Amin Reza (author), Antolínez, Jose A.A. (author), Etemad-Shahidi, Amir (author), Cartwright, Nick (author), Strauss, Darrell (author), Lemos, Gil (author)
This study quantifies the uncertainties in the projected changes in potential longshore sediment transport (LST) rates along a non-straight coastline. Four main sources of uncertainty, including the choice of emission scenarios, Global Circulation Model-driven offshore wave datasets (GCM-Ws), LST models, and their non-linear interactions were...
journal article 2022
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Huber, Gerhard (author), Bogenberger, Klaus (author), van Lint, J.W.C. (author)
The comparably low driving ranges of battery electric vehicles (BEV) cause time-consuming recharging stops if long distances have to be covered. Thus, navigation systems not only have to compute routes leading from the BEV's current position to the destination, but also to plan recharging stops. This type of routing problem is often modeled...
journal article 2022
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de Hoop, S. (author), Voskov, D.V. (author), Bertotti, G. (author), Barnhoorn, A. (author)
Fracture networks are abundant in subsurface applications (e.g., geothermal energy production, CO<sub>2</sub> sequestration). Fractured reservoirs often have a very complex structure, making modeling flow and transport in such networks slow and unstable. Consequently, this limits our ability to perform uncertainty quantification and increases...
journal article 2022
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Vo-Duy, T. (author), Duong-Gia, D. (author), Ho-Huu, V. (author), Nguyen-Thoi, T. (author)
This paper proposes an effective couple method for solving reliability-based multi-objective optimization problems of truss structures with static and dynamic constraints. The proposed coupling method integrates a single-loop deterministic method (SLDM) into the nondominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA-II) algorithm to give the so...
journal article 2019
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Ciullo, A. (author), de Bruijn, Karin M. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Klijn, F. (author)
Most alluvial plains in the world are protected by flood defences, for example, embankments, whose primary aim is to reduce the probability of flooding of the protected areas. At the same time, however, the presence of embankments at one area influences hydraulic conditions of downstream areas located on the same river. These hydraulic...
journal article 2019
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