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Van Dorsser, J.C.M. (author)This report, that provides an extended summary of a similar named thesis, addresses how a new method for the evaluation of policies with a very long term impact on the Dutch Inland Waterway Transport (IWT) system can be developed. It proposes an outline for a very long term transport model, prepares a number of very long term scenarios, and...report 2015
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Wang, Z. (author)Coastal erosion is a natural process caused by the actions of current and waves towards coastlines. Building with Nature (BwN), is an emerging methodology that utilizes natural process and natural materials to reduce the impacts of coastal erosion on nature and society. Because of the involvement of natural materials and natural processes, BwN...master thesis 2015
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Qian, K. (author), Chan, E.H.W. (author), Khalid, A.G. (author)Delivering green building (GB) projects involve some activities that are atypical in comparison with conventional buildings. Such new activities are characterized by uncertainty, and they incur hidden costs that have not been expected nor are they readily appreciated among the stakeholders. This paper develops a typology and chronology to...journal article 2015
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Arnold, P. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author), Fokkens, Jan (author), Fokker, Peter A. (author)OPERA-PU-TUD311<br/>The Onderzoeks Programma Eindberging Radioactief Afval (OPERA) is the third national research programme for the geological disposal of radioactive waste in the Netherlands, operating during the period 2011 to 2016. This document is the final report of Work Package 3.1, where the principal technical feasibility of the current...report 2015
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Dong, C. (author)Uncertainty is an unavoidable part of decision making. Decisions always have to be made before perfect knowledge on their consequences is known. However, there is no ‘perfect knowledge’ in hindsight. To research uncertainty and take actions proactively becomes the challenge to scientists and decision makers. In water resources planning and...doctoral thesis 2014
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Tsaples, G. (author)System Dynamics and Multi Criteria Decision Analysis are two decision aid methods that aim at helping decision makers to better understand the world through formal models and computations. System Dynamics with the use of feedback loops and time delays helps to understand the behavior of a system and how the various elements affect this behavior....master thesis 2014
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Nobel, A. (author)Introduction – The principle of shareholder value maximization raises concerns about reduced levels of investment in innovation (Lazonick, 2011a). Since shareholder value maximization entails to maximize profits for the shareholders of corporations, the principle is connected to the allocation of capital in markets. There are concerns about the...master thesis 2014
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Auping, W.L. (author)The copper case is often used as an example in resource depletion studies. Despite these studies, several profound uncertainties remain in the system. One of these uncertainties is the distribution of copper grades in the lithosphere. The Skinner thesis promotes the idea that copper grades may be distributed with a bimodal distribution instead...conference paper 2014
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)Bio-methane is a renewable gas option that can be injected to the natural gas grids to increase the sustainability of the energy system and to deal with natural gas supply problems. However, being based on several factors such as resource availability, competition between bio-methane and electricity sectors for biogas and biomass supply, demand,...conference paper 2014
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Auping, W.L. (author), De Jong, S. (author), Pruyt, E. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author)The US’ shale gas revolution, a spectacular increase in natural gas extraction from previously unconventional sources, has led to considerable lower gas prices in North America. This study focusses on consequences of the shale gas revolution on state stability of traditional oil and gas exporting countries in the vicinity of the EU. For this...conference paper 2014
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Eker, S. (author), Djong, J. (author), Leston, D. (author)Rabies is a viral fatal disease transmitted to humans mainly from dogs. Human deaths due to rabies have been increasing in recent years, especially in Africa and Asia where socioeconomic factors play an important role in the revival of the epidemic. In the current situation, it is unknown how the epidemic will evolve and which policies can...conference paper 2014
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Van Nooyen, R.R.P. (author), Hrachowitz, M. (author), Kolechkina, A.G. (author)Even without uncertainty about the model structure or parameters, the output of a hydrological model run still contains several sources of uncertainty. These are: measurement errors affecting the input, the transition from continuous time and space to discrete time and space, which causes loss of information about the input, discretization of...conference paper 2014
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Haasnoot, M. (author), Van Deursen, W.P.A. (author), Guillaume, J.H.A. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Van Beek, E. (author), Middelkoop, H. (author)Exploring adaptation pathways is an emerging approach for supporting decision making under uncertain changing conditions. An adaptation pathway is a sequence of policy actions to reach specified objectives. To develop adaptation pathways, interactions between environment and policy response need to be analysed over time for an ensemble of...journal article 2014
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Ströhle, P. (author), Gerding, E.H. (author), De Weerdt, M.M. (author), Stein, S. (author), Robu, V. (author)We design new algorithms for the problem of allocating uncertain, flexible, and multi-unit demand online given uncertain supply, in order to maximise social welfare. The algorithms can be seen as extensions of the expectation and consensus algorithms from the domain of online scheduling. The problem is especially relevant to the future smart...conference paper 2014
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Verhoeff, T.J. (author)Societal developments are timeless and occur at an ever increasing pace that affects demand for Corporate Real Estate (CRE). Real estate flexibility, as part of a CRE strategy, enables anticipation on those uncertain societal developments. Many studies refer to real estate flexibility, which could be grouped into physical, technical,...master thesis 2014
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Melese, Y.G. (author), Heijnen, P.W. (author), Stikkelman, R.M. (author)Development of networked energy infrastructures (like gas pipe networks), generally requires a significant amount of capital investment under resources, market and institutional uncertainties. Several independent suppliers and consumers are to be connected into these networks. However, the actual commitment of these parties and the capacities...journal article 2014
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Lazalde Arreola, H.F. (author)This master thesis provides a comprehensive study of the factors of actor's resistance to engage in the strategic decision-making process. These factors were studied through a qualitative analysis of six semi.structure interviews with consultants and consultancy clients. From these interviews a series of strategies for dealing with actors...master thesis 2013
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Vasilopoulos, C. (author)Years of turmoil in the banking sector have revealed the need to assess the performance of banks and explore the resilience of the banking system under adverse futures. Banks are not the safe houses everyone believed them to be, as the recent crisis of 2007 showed. Today, banks are highly uncertain dynamically complex systems that are...master thesis 2013
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Pande, S. (author)Quantile hydrologic model selection and structure deficiency assessment is applied in three case studies. The performance of quantile model selection problem is rigorously evaluated using a model structure on the French Broad river basin data set. The case study shows that quantile model selection encompasses model selection strategies based on...journal article 2013
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Pande, S. (author)A theory for quantile based hydrologic model selection and model structure deficiency assessment is presented. The paper demonstrates that the degree to which a model selection problem is constrained by the model structure (measured by the Lagrange multipliers of the constraints) quantifies structural deficiency. This leads to a formal...journal article 2013