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Haasnoot, M. (author), Van Deursen, W.P.A. (author), Guillaume, J.H.A. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Van Beek, E. (author), Middelkoop, H. (author)
Exploring adaptation pathways is an emerging approach for supporting decision making under uncertain changing conditions. An adaptation pathway is a sequence of policy actions to reach specified objectives. To develop adaptation pathways, interactions between environment and policy response need to be analysed over time for an ensemble of...
journal article 2014
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Ströhle, P. (author), Gerding, E.H. (author), De Weerdt, M.M. (author), Stein, S. (author), Robu, V. (author)
We design new algorithms for the problem of allocating uncertain, flexible, and multi-unit demand online given uncertain supply, in order to maximise social welfare. The algorithms can be seen as extensions of the expectation and consensus algorithms from the domain of online scheduling. The problem is especially relevant to the future smart...
conference paper 2014
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Verhoeff, T.J. (author)
Societal developments are timeless and occur at an ever increasing pace that affects demand for Corporate Real Estate (CRE). Real estate flexibility, as part of a CRE strategy, enables anticipation on those uncertain societal developments. Many studies refer to real estate flexibility, which could be grouped into physical, technical,...
master thesis 2014
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Melese, Y.G. (author), Heijnen, P.W. (author), Stikkelman, R.M. (author)
Development of networked energy infrastructures (like gas pipe networks), generally requires a significant amount of capital investment under resources, market and institutional uncertainties. Several independent suppliers and consumers are to be connected into these networks. However, the actual commitment of these parties and the capacities...
journal article 2014
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Lazalde Arreola, H.F. (author)
This master thesis provides a comprehensive study of the factors of actor's resistance to engage in the strategic decision-making process. These factors were studied through a qualitative analysis of six semi.structure interviews with consultants and consultancy clients. From these interviews a series of strategies for dealing with actors...
master thesis 2013
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Vasilopoulos, C. (author)
Years of turmoil in the banking sector have revealed the need to assess the performance of banks and explore the resilience of the banking system under adverse futures. Banks are not the safe houses everyone believed them to be, as the recent crisis of 2007 showed. Today, banks are highly uncertain dynamically complex systems that are...
master thesis 2013
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Pande, S. (author)
Quantile hydrologic model selection and structure deficiency assessment is applied in three case studies. The performance of quantile model selection problem is rigorously evaluated using a model structure on the French Broad river basin data set. The case study shows that quantile model selection encompasses model selection strategies based on...
journal article 2013
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Pande, S. (author)
A theory for quantile based hydrologic model selection and model structure deficiency assessment is presented. The paper demonstrates that the degree to which a model selection problem is constrained by the model structure (measured by the Lagrange multipliers of the constraints) quantifies structural deficiency. This leads to a formal...
journal article 2013
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K?vári, A. (author)
This project’s commissioner, the head of ING’s emerging markets credit trading desk developed a loan structure called Revenue Participation Loan to fit the needs of SMEs in emerging markets. He now wants to combine this new product with innovation in his approach to uncertainty. With these types of loans SMEs agree to pay a fixed percentage of...
master thesis 2013
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)
Import dependency and the extent of renewable gas production are two outcomes of interest concerning the future of gas supply in the Netherlands. Due to the complexity of internal mechanisms and uncertainties associated with the natural gas production, the production of renewable gases, and the demand for gas, the future of these two outcomes of...
conference paper 2013
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Qiu, L. (author)
As a useful tool in understanding the coastal behaviours, one-line models , which are designed to simulate the long-term shoreline evolution in response to imposed wave conditions, coastal structures, and other engineering activities such as beach nourishment, have been developed and applied to a wide range of projects in coastal engineering and...
master thesis 2013
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Wang, L. (author), Van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author), Vrijling, J.K. (author), Ranasinghe, R.W.M.R.J.B. (author), Maskey, S. (author)
To guarantee a safe flood defence in a changing environment, the adaptation to climate change needs to be considered in the design of river dikes. However, the large uncertainty in the projections of future climate leads to varied estimations of future flood probability. How to cope with the uncertainties in future flood probability under...
conference paper 2013
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Herder, P.M. (author), Pulles, K. (author)
conference paper 2013
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Kassela, A. (author)
The centralized drinking water supply system of the Metropolitan Area of Amsterdam, operated and owned mainly by Waternet, has high performance indicators and satisfies the full demand for water in the urban grid and surrounding areas on a full cost recovery basis. Social and technological developments, stemming mainly from (i) the increasing...
master thesis 2013
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Haasnoot, M. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Walker, W.E. (author), Ter Maat, J. (author)
A new paradigm for planning under conditions of deep uncertainty has emerged in the literature. According to this paradigm, a planner should create a strategic vision of the future, commit to short-term actions, and establish a framework to guide future actions. A plan that embodies these ideas allows for its dynamic adaptation over time to meet...
journal article 2013
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Taneja, P. (author)
Ports are beset with many uncertainties about their futures. They are confronted with new demands in terms of functions and scales, new external constraints, and changed expectations. The inability to adequately meet these demands can mean costly adaptations for a port, or loss of cargo and competitive position. A plausible reason is that the...
doctoral thesis 2013
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Ravestein, A.F. (author)
ProRail is the railway management company of the Netherlands. It is responsible for the construction, maintenance, management, and safety of the Dutch railway system. ProRail has as a goal an annual five per cent increase in the number of transported passengers up to 2020. This goal cannot be reached with the current way of transporting...
master thesis 2012
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Koreneef, S. (author)
A financial feasibility study into the development of a 'sustainable fuel from digested manure' system for the Salland region within the Province of Overijssel in the Netherlands. This is a specific variant of a green gas hub system, which produces sustainable fuel as end product. To deal with challenges and uncertainties in the development the ...
master thesis 2012
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Bornaee, A.A. (author)
New developments in the gas market urge public and private concerns to gain deeper insight into how this market is functioning. The Energy Research Center of the Netherlands (ECN), as a leading research institute, has developed a deterministic model representing the European gas market called GASTALE. Based on this model, this research has been...
master thesis 2012
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)
Unconventional gas has raised debates all over the world following its considerable contribution to the natural gas production of some countries such as the US. The Netherlands, which is a prominent gas producer in the Western Europe, also considers unconventional resources as an alternative to conventional production, which is estimated to...
conference paper 2012
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