Searched for: author%3A%22Hanea%2C+Anca%22
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Dharmarathne, Gayan (author), Nane, G.F. (author), Robinson, Andrew (author), Hanea, Anca M. (author)
Mathematical aggregation of probabilistic expert judgments often involves weighted linear combinations of experts’ elicited probability distributions of uncertain quantities. Experts’ weights are commonly derived from calibration experiments based on the experts’ performance scores, where performance is evaluated in terms of the calibration and...
journal article 2023
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Hanea, Anca Maria (author), Nane, G.F. (author)
contribution to periodical 2022
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Hanea, Anca M. (author), Hemming, Victoria (author), Nane, G.F. (author)
Expert elicitation is deployed when data are absent or uninformative and critical decisions must be made. In designing an expert elicitation, most practitioners seek to achieve best practice while balancing practical constraints. The choices made influence the required time and effort investment, the quality of the elicited data, experts’...
journal article 2021
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Hanea, Anca M. (author), Nane, G.F. (author)
The Classical Model (CM) or Cooke’s method for performing Structured Expert Judgement (SEJ) is the best-known method that promotes expert performance evaluation when aggregating experts’ assessments of uncertain quantities. Assessing experts’ performance in quantifying uncertainty involves two scores in CM, the calibration score (or...
book chapter 2021
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Roscoe, K. (author), Hanea, Anca (author), Jongejan, R.B. (author), Vrouwenvelder, A.C.W.M. (author)
In levee system reliability, the length effect is the term given to the phenomenon that the longer the levee, the higher the probability that it will have a weak spot and fail. Quantitatively, it is the ratio of the segment failure probability to the cross-sectional failure probability. The literature is lacking in methods to calculate the...
review 2020
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