Searched for: author%3A%22Kwakkel%2C+J.H.%22
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Pruyt, E. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Hamarat, C. (author)
Many grand challenges are both dynamically complex and deeply uncertain. Combining System Dynamics with Exploratory Modeling and Analysis allows one to generate, explore, identify and analyze all sorts of plausible scenarios related to such issues, and design and test adaptive policies over many scenarios. This paper explains and illustrates...
conference paper 2013
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Hamarat, C. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Pruyt, E. (author)
The recent flu pandemic in 2009 caused a panic about the possible consequences due to deep uncertainty about an unknown virus. Overstock of vaccines or unnecessary social measures to be taken were all due to uncertainty. However, what should be the necessary actions to take in such deeply uncertain situation where there is no or very little...
conference paper 2012
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Hamarat, C. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Pruyt, E. (author)
Uncertainty manifests itself in almost every aspect of decision making. Adaptive and flexible policy design becomes crucial under uncertainty. An adaptive policy is designed to be flexible and can be adapted over time to changing circumstances and unforeseeable surprises. A crucial part of an adaptive policy is the monitoring system and...
conference paper 2012