document

It’s in the social network: The Social Neighbourhood model to unravel local social structures for liveable and safe neighbourhoods

Slingerland, G. (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Brazier, F.M. (author)

Fast growth of cities decreases the quality of life in these places. In response, Municipalities install policies aiming to improve local livability. While literature suggests social structures to have a defining impact on policy effectiveness, current evaluation metrics are not able to take this into account. This paper presents the Social...

journal article 2023

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Using Machine Learning for Agent Specifications in Agent-Based Models and Simulations: A Critical Review and Guidelines

Aleebrahimdehkordi, M. (author), Lechner, J.M. (author), Ghorbani, A. (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Chappin, E.J.L. (author), Herder, P.M. (author)

Agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS), whether simple toy models or complex data-driven ones, is regularly applied in various domains to study the system-level patterns arising from individual behaviour and interactions. However, ABMS still faces diverse challenges such as modelling more representative agents or improving computational...

journal article 2023

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Quantifying households’ carbon footprint in cities using socioeconomic attributes: A case study for The Hague (Netherlands)

Patel, R.G. (author), Marvuglia, Antonino (author), Baustert, Paul (author), Huang, Yilin (author), Shivakumar, Abhishek (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Verma, T. (author)

Cities consume almost 80 percent of world’s energy and account for 60 percent of all the emissions of carbon dioxide and significant amounts of other greenhouse gases (GHG). The ongoing rapid urbanization will further increase GHG emissions of cities. The quantification of the environmental impact generated in cities is an important step to curb...

journal article 2022

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Modelling Energy Security: The Case of Dutch Urban Energy Communities

Fouladvand, J. (author), Verkerk, D. (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Ghorbani, A. (author)

Energy communities are gaining momentum in the context of the energy transition. Given the distributed and collective action nature of energy communities, energy security of these local energy systems is more than just security of supply and related to issues such as affordability and acceptability of energy to members of the community. We build...

conference paper 2022

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Theorizing Participatory Control Systems: an organizational control concept for enabling and guiding adaptivity in complex situations

Nikolic, I. (author), Kolk, W.P.H. (author), Paape, Leen (author), de Korte, Ron (author)

This paper presents a theoretical framework for a new concept of organizational control, that stimulates organizational change and adaptation. It introduces Participatory Control Systems (PCS) as a distinct type of control based on the complex adaptive system literature. These control systems are fundamentally different from the traditional...

journal article 2022

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Agent-based Modelling and Simulation for Circular Business Model Experimentation

Lange, K.P.H. (author), Korevaar, G. (author), Oskam, Inge (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Herder, P.M. (author)

The viability of novel network-level circular business models (CBMs) is debated heavily. Many companies are hesitant to implement CBMs in their daily practice, because of the various roles, stakes and opinions and the resulting uncertainties. Testing novel CBMs prior to implementation is needed. Some scholars have used digital simulation models...

journal article 2021

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Actor Behaviour and Robustness of Industrial Symbiosis Networks: An Agent-Based Modelling Approach

Lange, K.P.H. (author), Korevaar, G. (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Herder, P.M. (author)

Industrial Symbiosis Networks (ISNs) consist of firms that exchange residual materials and energy locally, in order to gain economic, environmental and/or social advantages. In practice, ISNs regularly fail when partners leave and the recovery of residual streams ends. Regarding the current societal need for a shift towards sustainability, it is...

journal article 2021

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Modelling social learning during participatory modeling processes

Peters, Nourian (author), Nikolic, I. (author), de Vries, G. (author)

conference paper 2020

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The role of household adaptation measures in reducing vulnerability to flooding: A coupled agent-based and flood modelling approach

Abebe, Y.A. (author), Ghorbani, A. (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Manojlovic, Natasa (author), Gruhn, Angelika (author), Vojinovic, Zoran (author)

Flood adaptation measures implemented at the household level play an important role in reducing communities' vulnerability. The aim of this study is to enhance the current modelling practices of human-flood interaction to draw new insights for flood risk management (FRM) policy design. The paper presents a coupled agent-based and flood model...

journal article 2020

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From niche to market-an agent-based modeling approach for the economic uptake of electro-fuels (power-to-fuel) in the german energy system

Schnuelle, Christian (author), Kisjes, K.H. (author), Stuehrmann, Torben (author), Thier, Pablo (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Von Gleich, Arnim (author), Goessling-Reisemann, Stefan (author)

The transition process towards renewable energy systems is facing challenges in both fluctuating electricity generation of photovoltaic and wind power as well as socio-economic disruptions. With regard to sector integration, solutions need to be developed, especially for the mobility and the industry sector, because their ad hoc...

journal article 2020

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Participatory multi-modelling as the creation of a boundary object ecology: the case of future energy infrastructures in the Rotterdam Port Industrial Cluster

Cuppen, E.H.W.J. (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Quist, J.N. (author)

Finding leverage points for sustainability transformation of industrial and infrastructure systems is challenging, given that transformation is emergent from the complex interactions among socio-technical system elements over time within a specific social, technical and geographical context. Participatory multi-modelling, in which modellers...

journal article 2020

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Eindrapportage Project Windmaster: De weg naar een adaptief investeringsbeleid

Wurth, Ton (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Sloot, Maarten (author), Cuppen, E.H.W.J. (author), Quist, J.N. (author)

Nederland is op weg naar een CO2-neutrale samenleving in 2050. Zo ook het haven industrieel cluster van Rotterdam (HIC). Om dat te bereiken zal de energievoorziening de komende jaren moeten veranderen. Deze verandering heeft een grote impact op de energieinfrastructuur. In het Windmaster project wordt gefocust op de huidige aardgas-,H2- en...

report 2019

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Flood risk management in Sint Maarten–A coupled agent-based and flood modelling method

Abebe, Y.A. (author), Ghorbani, A. (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Sanchez, Arlex (author), Vojinovic, Zoran (author)

Disaster risk reduction is a major concern of small island developing states. Measures to reduce risk should not only be based on the magnitude of physical hazard, but also on the exposure and vulnerability of communities. In this article, we examine flood risk management policies in the Caribbean island of Sint Maarten using coupled agent-based...

journal article 2019

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Modeling with stakeholders for transformative change

van Bruggen, Anne (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author)

Coherent responses to important problems such as climate change require involving a multitude of stakeholders in a transformative process leading to development of policy pathways. The process of coming to an agreement on policy pathways requires critical reflection on underlying system conceptualizations and commitment to building capacity...

journal article 2019

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A coupled flood-agent-institution modelling (CLAIM) framework for urban flood risk management

Abebe, Y.A. (author), Ghorbani, A. (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Vojinovic, Zoran (author), Sanchez, Arlex (author)

In this paper, we describe a modelling framework that allows the integration of human and physical components of flood risk. Within this framework, flood risk management is conceptualized as a coupled human-flood system. The human subsystem includes individuals and their behaviour and institutions that shape human-flood interaction. The...

journal article 2019

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Jumping to a better world: An agent-based exploration of criticality in low-carbon energy transitions

Kraan, O.D.E. (author), Dalderop, Steven (author), Kramer, G.J. (author), Nikolic, I. (author)

Understanding the possible transition pathways of the energy system requires the integration of human behaviour in energy system models. In order to model the influence of actor behaviour we have developed ACT (Agent-Based Model of Critical Transitions), an agent-based model inspired by an existing conceptualisation of critical transitions....

journal article 2019

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An Agent-based Model to Evaluate Influences on Structural Reliability by Human and Organizational Factors

Ren, X. (author), Terwel, K.C. (author), Nikolic, I. (author), van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author)

Human and Organizational Factors (HOFs) are considered to have significant impacts on structural reliability. Yet how structural reliability is affected by these factors and how large this impact is remains inadequately studied. A model that is designed to reveal such relationships is proposed in this paper. First, a review of problem related...

conference paper 2019

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Guide for Good Modelling Practice in policy support

Nikolic, I. (author), Lukszo, Z. (author), Chappin, E.J.L. (author), Warnier, Martijn (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Bots, P.W.G. (author), Brazier, F.M. (author)

report 2019

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Principles, challenges and guidelines for a multi-model ecology

Nikolic, I. (author), Warnier, Martijn (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Chappin, E.J.L. (author), Lukszo, Z. (author), Brazier, F.M. (author), Verbraeck, A. (author), Cvetkovic, M. (author), Palensky, P. (author)

report 2019

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Why fully liberalised electricity markets will fail to meet deep decarbonisation targets even with strong carbon pricing

Kraan, Oscar (author), Kramer, Gert Jan (author), Nikolic, I. (author), Chappin, E.J.L. (author), Koning, Vinzenz (author)

Full decarbonisation of the electricity system is one of the key elements to limit global warming. As this transition takes place, the electricity system must maintain system adequacy and remain affordable to consumers. In liberalised electricity markets investors are seen as key actors driving this transition. Due to the intermittent...

journal article 2019