Searched for: author%3A%22Paprotny%2C+D.%22
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Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Worm, Daniël T.H. (author), Ragno, E. (author)
Bayesian Networks (BNs) are probabilistic, graphical models for representing complex dependency structures. They have many applications in science and engineering. Their particularly powerful variant – Non-Parametric BNs – are for the first time implemented as an open-access scriptable code, in the form of a MATLAB toolbox “BANSHEE”.<sup>1<...
journal article 2020
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Paprotny, D. (author), Vousdoukas, Michalis I. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Feyen, Luc (author)
The interaction between storm surges and inland run-off has been gaining increasing attention recently, as they have the potential to result in compound floods. In Europe, several flood events of this type have been recorded in the past century in Belgium, France, Ireland, Italy and UK. First projections of compound flood hazard under climate...
journal article 2020
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Terefenko, Paweł (author), Paprotny, D. (author), Giza, Andrzej (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Kubicki, Adam (author), Walczakiewicz, Szymon (author)
Cliff coasts are dynamic environments that can retreat very quickly. However, the<br/>short-term changes and factors contributing to cliff coast erosion have not received as much attention as dune coasts. In this study, three soft-cliff systems in the southern Baltic Sea were monitored with the use of terrestrial laser scanner technology over a...
journal article 2019
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Paprotny, D. (author)
In the past decade, there has been growing interest in analysing flood hazard and risk on European scale. Such studies allow assessment of climate change impacts, can be used at EU-level policymaking and provide information on countries where local flood maps are not available. In this thesis, some innovative methodologies that contribute to...
doctoral thesis 2018
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Paprotny, D. (author), Sebastian, Antonia (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
Adverse consequences of floods change in time and are influenced by both natural and socio-economic trends and interactions. In Europe, previous studies of historical flood losses corrected for demographic and economic growth (‘normalized’) have been limited in temporal and spatial extent, leading to an incomplete representation of trends in...
journal article 2018
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Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Vousdoukas, Michalis I. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Nikulin, Grigory (author)
Coastal flood maps covering the whole European continent have become available in recent years. However, their ability to complement or replace high-resolution local flood maps was not investigated so far. In this paper we compare pan-European estimates of extreme sea levels and coastal flood extents at given return periods with observations and...
journal article 2018
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Terefenko, Paweł (author), Giza, Andrzej (author), Paprotny, D. (author), Kubicki, Adam (author), Winowski, Marcin (author)
In Miȩdzyzdroje, a coastal town in Poland, significant cliff retreat has been observed in recent times. It used to be considered mainly a response to storm events with particularly high water levels and wave energy. However, morphology of cliff coasts is shaped not only by the most extreme storm surges or by a number of accompanying processes...
journal article 2018
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Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
The influence of social and economic change on the consequences of natural hazards has been a matter of much interest recently. However, there is a lack of comprehensive, high-resolution data on historical changes in land use, population or assets available to study this topic. Here, we present HANZE database, or ‘Historical Analysis of Natural...
journal article 2018
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Morales Napoles, O. (author), Paprotny, D. (author), Worm, D (author), Abspoel-Bukman, L (author), Courage, W (author)
In this paper two methodologies are investigated that contribute to better assessment of risks related to extreme rainfall events. Firstly, one-parameter bivariate copulas are used to analyze rain gauge data in the Netherlands. Out of three models considered, the Gumbel copula, which indicates upper tail dependence, represents the data most...
journal article 2017
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Sebastian, A.G. (author), Lendering, K.T. (author), van Loon-Steensma, J.M. (author), Paprotny, D. (author), Bellamy, Rob (author), Willems, Patrick (author), van Loenhout, Joris (author), Colaço, Conceição (author), Dias, Susana (author), Nunes, Leónia (author), Rego, Francisco (author), Koundouri, Phoebe (author), Xepapadeas, Petros (author), Vassilopoulos, Achilleas (author), Wiktor, Paweł (author), Wysocka-Golec, Justyna (author)
This report focuses on the methodological development of the testing and implementation framework (TIF) for increasing the socio-technical readiness of climate adaptation innovations and assessing their impact on different socio-economic and environmental sectors. It is designed to be read by innovators and used as a supporting document for the...
report 2017
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Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)
Flood hazard is currently being researched on continental and global scales, using models of increasing complexity. In this paper we investigate a different, simplified approach, which combines statistical and physical models in place of conventional rainfall-run-off models to carry out flood mapping for Europe. A Bayesian-network-based model...
journal article 2017
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Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author)
Large-scale hydrological modelling of flood hazards requires adequate extreme discharge data. In practise, models based on physics are applied alongside those utilizing only statistical analysis. The former require enormous computational power, while the latter are mostly limited in accuracy and spatial coverage. In this paper we introduce an...
journal article 2017
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Sebastian, Antonia (author), Lendering, K.T. (author), van Loon-Steensma, J.M. (author), Paprotny, D. (author), Bellamy, Rob (author), Willems, Patrick (author), van Loenhout, Joris (author), Colaço, Conceição (author), Dias, Susana (author), Nunes, Leónia (author), Rego, Francisco (author), Koundouri, Phoebe (author), Xepapadeas, Petros (author), Vassilopoulos, Achilleas (author), Wiktor, Paweł (author), Wysocka-Golec, Justyna (author)
Currently there is no internationally accepted framework for assessing the readiness of innovations that reduce disaster risk. To fill this gap, BRIGAID is developing a standard, comprehensive Testing and Implementation Framework (TIF). The TIF is designed to provide innovators with a framework for innovation and guidelines for assessing an...
report 2017
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Paprotny, D. (author), Jonkman, S.N. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author)
Objectives<br/>Since the beginning of the second industrial revolution in the second half of the 19th century, Europe’s society and economy has been profoundly transformed. The population doubled in the last 150 years, together with more than fourfold increase in number of dwellings and 30-fold increase in production value in real terms. At the...
abstract 2017
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Paprotny, D. (author), Terefenko, Pawel (author)
Polish coastal zone is thought to be one of the most exposed to sea level rise in Europe. With mean sea levels expected to increase between 28 and 98 cm by the end of the century, and storms increasing in severity, accurate estimates of the consequences of those phenomena are needed. Recent advances in quality and availability of spatial data in...
journal article 2017
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Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Nikulin, Grigory (author)
Continental or global studies of coastal flood hazard in the context of climate change encounter several obstacles. The primary concern is the limited coverage of sea level data, especially the high-frequency sort needed to analyse sea level extremes. In this paper we present the calculations of return periods of storm surge heights and water...
conference paper 2016
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Huibregtse, E. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Hellebrandt, L. (author), Paprotny, D. (author), De Wit, S. (author)
This paper presents a risk-based method to quantify climate change effects on road infrastructure, as a support for decision-making on interventions. This can be implemented in climate adaptation plans as an element of asset management. The method is illustrated by a specific case in which traffic on a road network is disrupted by the flooding...
journal article 2016
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Groenemeijer, P (author), Vajda, A (author), Lehtonen, I (author), Kämäräinen, M (author), Venäläinen, A (author), Gregow, H (author), Becker, N (author), Nissen, K (author), Ulbrich, U (author), Paprotny, D. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author), Púčik, T (author)
This report presents analyses of the probability of hydro-meteorological hazard occurrence, which were carried out within the RAIN project. Those probabilities and their projected changes during the 21st century are an input to subsequent risk analyses which assist the identification of optimal adaptation measures. The spatial distributions of...
report 2016
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Paprotny, D. (author)
This paper applies the ‘time lag’ method to a set of social and economic indicators, examining the development of Central and Eastern Europe since the first world war. Originally used to assess technology diffusion, this method allows comparison of levels of development between states and through a long period of time. It presents how many years...
journal article 2015
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Paprotny, D. (author), Terefenko, P. (author)
Polish coastal zone is thought to be of the most exposed to sea level rise in Europe. With climate change expected to raise mean sea levels between 26 and 200 cm by the end of the century, and storms increasing in severity, accurate estimates of those phenomena are needed. Recent advances in quality and availability of spatial data in Poland...
journal article 2015
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