The impacts of biosecurity measures on Campylobacter contamination in broiler houses and slaughterhouses in the Netherlands: A simulation modelling approach

Intestinal campylobacteriosis, caused by Campylobacter ingestion, is the most reported zoonosis in the EU; it is societally costly and can lead to more severe sequelae. To reduce Campylobacter infections, biosecurity measures at both farms and slaughterhouses are warranted. However, the potential improvements achieved by these interventions have...

Policy Analysis of Multi-Actor Systems

Policy of Multi-Actor Systems is an introduction into the art of craft of problem exploration and problem structuring. It positions policy analysis as a scientific discipline focused on systems analysis in a multi-actor context to support better informed decision-making. The approach presented in this book is considered to be the cornerstone of...

On the meaning and operationalization of antifragility: Comment on the paper by Groβler

In his paper on antifragility in supply chains, Größler (2020) explains the concept of antifragility, provides a managerial operationalisation of antifragility and investigates the implications of antifragility in a supply chain setting by applying it to a system dynamics model of a four‐tier supply chain. In these Comments, I take a look at...

The PRESTO Project Relay: Open, Asynchronous Learning in Virtual Peer Groups

PrESTO: A peer review and peer assessment system with incentives for high quality learning

The PrESTO system is a peer review and peer assessment tool that allows large numbers of students to practice open-ended assignments, while keeping the workload of the teaching staff manageable. PrESTO was originally developed for a quantitative modeling course, but is applicable to any course with open-ended assignments that can be divided...

Perspectives on Policy Analysis: A Framework for Understanding and Design

Assessing the residential energy rebound effect by means of a serious game

Residential energy efficiency improvements often have a smaller effect than expected. Although there is agreement on the existence of this effect, called the rebound effect, there is no agreement on the size of the effect. The objective of this study was to investigate the potential of using serious games to assess this effect. We used a game...

Towards a quantitative method to analyze the long-term innovation diffusion of automated vehicles technology using system dynamics

This paper presents a novel simulation model that shows the dynamic and complex nature of the innovation system of vehicle automation in a quantitative way. The model simulates the innovation diffusion of automated vehicles (AVs) on the long-term. It looks at the system of AVs from a functional perspective and therefore categorizes this...

Changing Influence of Factors Explaining Household Car Ownership Levels in the Netherlands

To contribute to existing research on the influence of various factors on household car ownership in the Netherlands, this study addressed the question whether and to what extent the influence of economic, sociodemographic, and spatial factors on the number of cars owned by households has changed over time. There seems to be an absence of...

Incorporating stakeholder perspectives into model-based scenarios: Exploring the futures of the Dutch gas sector

Several model-based, analytical approaches have been developed recently to deal with the deep uncertainty present in situations for which futures studies are conducted. These approaches focus on covering a wide variety of scenarios and searching for robust strategies. However, they generally do not take the multiplicity of stakeholder...

Modelling wind turbine diffusion: a comparative study of California and Denmark 1980-1995

Validating Medical Knowledge Based Systems