Fatigue design load calculations of the offshore NREL 5 MW benchmark turbine using quadrature rule techniques

A novel approach is proposed to reduce, compared with the conventional binning approach, the large number of aeroelastic code evaluations that are necessary to obtain equivalent loads acting on wind turbines. These loads describe the effect of long-term environmental variability on the fatigue loads of a horizontal-axis wind turbine. In...

Generating nested quadrature rules with positive weights based on arbitrary sample sets

For the purpose of uncertainty propagation a new quadrature rule technique is proposed that has positive weights, has high degree, and is constructed using only samples that describe the probability distribution of the uncertain parameters. Moreover, nodes can be added to the quadrature rule, resulting in a sequence of nested rules. The rule...

Bayesian model calibration with interpolating polynomials based on adaptively weighted leja nodes

An efficient algorithm is proposed for Bayesian model calibration, which is commonly used to estimate the model parameters of non-linear, computationally expensive models using measurement data. The approach is based on Bayesian statistics: using a prior distribution and a likelihood, the posterior distribution is obtained through application...

Efficient ultimate load estimation for offshore wind turbines using interpolating surrogate models

During the design phase of an offshore wind turbine, it is required to assess the impact of loads on the turbine life time. Due to the varying environmental conditions, the effect of various uncertain parameters has to be studied to provide meaningful conclusions. Incorporating such uncertain parameters in this regard is often done by...