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Zwaginga, J.J. (author), Lagemann, Benjamin (author), Erikstad, Stein Ove (author), Pruyn, J.F.J. (author)
Shipowners need to prepare for low-emission fuel alternatives to meet the IMO 2050 goals. This is a complex problem due to conflicting objectives and a high degree of uncertainty. To help navigate this problem, this paper investigates how methods that take uncertainty into account, like robust optimization and stochastic optimization, could be...
journal article 2024
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Røsok, O.P. (author), de Bruijne, M.L.C. (author), Veeneman, Wijnand (author)
The interdependencies between infrastructures are growing. Engineering decision making that earlier was largely confined to a specific sector now requires more and more understanding of how systems interact: a system-of-systems perspective. The article analyzes the effect of that added complexity in a single case study in de Zuid-As, Amsterdam,...
journal article 2023
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Mier Escurra, C. (author), Khamlichi, Abderrahim (author), Dalstein, Matthieu (author), Vidal, Jose Ramon (author), Garnacho, Fernando (author), Mor, Armando Rodrigo (author), Vu-Cong, Thanh (author)
Driven by the voltage increase in high-voltage direct current (HVDC) gas-insulated substations (GISs), novel methods are needed for partial discharge (PD) detection and monitoring. This article shows a PD calibration method for very-high-frequency (VHF) magnetic and electric sensors in GIS. The calibration method uncertainty is tested in...
journal article 2023
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Haacker, J.M. (author), Wouters, B. (author), Slobbe, D.C. (author)
Our awareness of ice caps’ and mountain glaciers’ sensitivity to climate change has driven major advances in the application of remote sensing techniques during the past decade. Regarding ESA’s SARIn altimeter CryoSat-2, processing the full waveform to generate swaths of elevation estimates has become standard...
journal article 2023
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Refsgaard, Jens Christian (author), Mai, Juliane (author), Hrachowitz, M. (author), Jain, Sharad K. (author), Stisen, Simon (author)
Catchment modelling has undergone tremendous developments during the past decades. In the 1970s, the focus was on simulation of catchment runoff with process descriptions and data inputs being lumped to the catchment scale. Later developments included spatially distributed models allowing data inputs and hydrological processes to be simulated at...
journal article 2023
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Zarifsanayei, Amin Reza (author), Antolínez, José A. Á. (author), Etemad-Shahidi, Amir (author), Cartwright, Nick (author), Strauss, Darrell (author), Lemos, Gil (author)
This study quantifies the uncertainties in the projected changes in potential longshore sediment transport (LST) rates along a non-straight coastline. Four main sources of uncertainty, including the choice of emission scenarios, Global Circulation Model-driven offshore wave datasets (GCM-Ws), LST models, and their non-linear interactions were...
journal article 2022
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Huber, Gerhard (author), Bogenberger, Klaus (author), van Lint, J.W.C. (author)
The comparably low driving ranges of battery electric vehicles (BEV) cause time-consuming recharging stops if long distances have to be covered. Thus, navigation systems not only have to compute routes leading from the BEV's current position to the destination, but also to plan recharging stops. This type of routing problem is often modeled...
journal article 2022
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Scott, Michael J. (author), Verhagen, W.J.C. (author), Bieber, M.T. (author), Marzocca, Pier (author)
In recent decades, the increased use of sensor technologies, as well as the increase in digitalisation of aircraft sustainment and operations, have enabled capabilities to detect, diagnose, and predict the health of aircraft structures, systems, and components. Predictive maintenance and closely related concepts, such as prognostics and health...
journal article 2022
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de Hoop, S. (author), Voskov, D.V. (author), Bertotti, G. (author), Barnhoorn, A. (author)
Fracture networks are abundant in subsurface applications (e.g., geothermal energy production, CO<sub>2</sub> sequestration). Fractured reservoirs often have a very complex structure, making modeling flow and transport in such networks slow and unstable. Consequently, this limits our ability to perform uncertainty quantification and increases...
journal article 2022
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Scholte, Mirre (author), Marchau, V.A.W.J. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Klijn, Catharina J.M. (author), Rovers, Maroeska M. (author), Grutters, Janneke P.C. (author)
Objectives: In early stages, the consequences of innovations are often unknown or deeply uncertain, which complicates early health economic modeling (EHEM). The field of decision making under deep uncertainty uses exploratory modeling (EM) in situations when the system model, input probabilities/distributions, and consequences are unknown or...
journal article 2022
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Bamber, J. L. (author), Oppenheimer, M. (author), Kopp, R. E. (author), Aspinall, W. P. (author), Cooke, R.M. (author)
The ice sheets covering Antarctica and Greenland present the greatest uncertainty in, and largest potential contribution to, future sea level rise. The uncertainty arises from a paucity of suitable observations covering the full range of ice sheet behaviors, incomplete understanding of the influences of diverse processes, and limitations in...
journal article 2022
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Wang, Lu (author), Robertson, Amy (author), Jonkman, Jason (author), Kim, Jang (author), Shen, Zhi‐Rong (author), Koop, Arjen (author), Chandramouli, P. (author), Viré, A.C. (author), Ramesh Reddy, L. (author)
Currently, the design of floating offshore wind systems is primarily based on mid-fidelity models with empirical drag forces. The tuning of the model coefficients requires data from either experiments or high-fidelity simulations. As part of the OC6 (Offshore Code Comparison Collaboration, Continued, with Correlation, and unCertainty (OC6) is a...
journal article 2022
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van den Boomen, M. (author), Van der Meulen, Sjoerd (author), Van Ekris, Jonathan (author), Spanjers, Roel (author), Ten Voorde, Olle (author), Mulder, Janwin (author), Blommaart, Peter (author)
<br/>The port of Rotterdam is the largest seaport in Europe. To maintain its position, the harbor will have to anticipate global transitions such as transferring to sustainable energy. Hydrogen is seen as a promising energy carrier; however, future demand is uncertain. The current research investigates decision making under uncertainty and...
journal article 2021
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van den Boomen, M. (author), Spaan, M.T.J. (author), Schoenmaker, R. (author), Wolfert, A.R.M. (author)
Managerial flexibility in infrastructure investment and replacement decisions adds value. Real options analysis (ROA) captures this value under uncertain market prices. The concept of ROA is that future unfavourable payoffs can be deferred as soon as more information about market prices becomes available. The popularity of ROA is seen in a...
journal article 2019
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Vo-Duy, T. (author), Duong-Gia, D. (author), Ho-Huu, V. (author), Nguyen-Thoi, T. (author)
This paper proposes an effective couple method for solving reliability-based multi-objective optimization problems of truss structures with static and dynamic constraints. The proposed coupling method integrates a single-loop deterministic method (SLDM) into the nondominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA-II) algorithm to give the so...
journal article 2019
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Ciullo, A. (author), de Bruijn, Karin M. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Klijn, F. (author)
Most alluvial plains in the world are protected by flood defences, for example, embankments, whose primary aim is to reduce the probability of flooding of the protected areas. At the same time, however, the presence of embankments at one area influences hydraulic conditions of downstream areas located on the same river. These hydraulic...
journal article 2019
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Zhou, C. (author), van Nooijen, R.R.P. (author), Kolechkina, A.G. (author), Hrachowitz, M. (author)
Several commonly-used nonparametric change-point detection methods are analysed in terms of power, ability and accuracy of the estimated change-point location. The analysis is performed with synthetic data for different sample sizes, two types of change and different magnitudes of change. The methods studied are the Pettitt method, a method...
journal article 2019
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Song, Jingkuan (author), Guo, Yuyu (author), Gao, Lianli (author), Li, Xuelong (author), Hanjalic, A. (author), Shen, Heng Tao (author)
Video captioning, in essential, is a complex natural process, which is affected by various uncertainties stemming from video content, subjective judgment, and so on. In this paper, we build on the recent progress in using encoder-decoder framework for video captioning and address what we find to be a critical deficiency of the existing...
journal article 2018
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Ertsen, M.W. (author)
Dealing with uncertainty is key in socio-hydrological analysis. As such, thinking through what uncertainties mean for whom and when is key. This discussion contribution introduces three issues related to defining uncertainties. The first issue deals with the problem of defining uncertainty as a given external reality. The second issue deals with...
journal article 2018
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van der Spek, J.E. (author), Bakker, M. (author)
The influence of the length of the calibration period and observation frequency on the predictive uncertainty in time series modeling of groundwater dynamics is investigated. Studied series are from deltaic regions with predominantly shallow groundwater tables in a temperate maritime climate where heads vary due to precipitation and...
journal article 2017
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