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Ghisolfi, Verônica (author), Tavasszy, Lorant (author), Correia, Gonçalo (author), de Lorena Diniz Chaves, Gisele (author), Mattos Ribeiro, Glaydston (author)
As part of the global efforts to mitigate climate change, policymakers are designing measures to reduce the carbon emissions of the freight transport system. As global agreements for decarbonisation specify strict time windows, it is important to understand the speed at which the transport system is capable of changing. Our paper proposes a...
journal article 2022
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Papachristos, George (author), van de Kaa, G. (author)
Standards competition is a complicated process influenced by a large number of factors and mechanisms. This article develops a simulation model that draws on current theory of standards competition dynamics and represents the interplay of strategic factors that firms can use to gain a competitive advantage. The model is used to reproduce four...
review 2020
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Legêne, Martijn F. (author), Auping, Willem L. (author), Correia, Gonçalo (author), van Arem, B. (author)
Urban form develops in close feedback with different modes of transportation. The introduction and adoption of automated vehicles (AVs) are expected to have an impact on the development of cities as well, as the use of AVs may, for example, lead to more efficient road use and less need for parking spaces. In order to study those impacts, we...
journal article 2020
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Drop, F.M. (author), Pool, D.M. (author), van Paassen, M.M. (author), Mulder, Max (author), Bulthoff, Heinrich H. (author)
The human controller (HC) in manual control of a dynamical system often follows a visible and predictable reference path (target). The HC can adopt a control strategy combining closed-loop feedback and an open-loop feedforward response. The effects of the target signal waveform shape and the system dynamics on the human feedforward dynamics...
journal article 2018
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Slinger, J (author), d’Hont, Floortje (author)
This paper describes lessons learned while teaching Advanced System Dynamics, at the Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management at Delft University of Technology. The course is an elective for Master students of the faculty who are already familiar with system dynamics modelling. We report on the course in the academic year 2014-2015, the...
conference paper 2018
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Papachristos, G. (author)
Electric appliances are an indispensable part of a household and through their sheer number contribute substantially to its electricity consumption. This paper explores potential reductions in residential appliance electricity consumption in the Netherlands with smart meters, using two perspectives: a bottom up engineering approach and a...
conference paper 2014
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Eker, S. (author), Djong, J. (author), Leston, D. (author)
Rabies is a viral fatal disease transmitted to humans mainly from dogs. Human deaths due to rabies have been increasing in recent years, especially in Africa and Asia where socioeconomic factors play an important role in the revival of the epidemic. In the current situation, it is unknown how the epidemic will evolve and which policies can...
conference paper 2014
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Rose, A.C. (author)
This report presents a first look study at the field of System Dynamics. The objective of the study is to perform a model-based policy analysis in order to investigate the future advancement of the System Dynamics field. The aim of this investigation is to determine what this advancement should look like and how that can be accomplished. Several...
conference paper 2014
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)
Bio-methane is a renewable gas option that can be injected to the natural gas grids to increase the sustainability of the energy system and to deal with natural gas supply problems. However, being based on several factors such as resource availability, competition between bio-methane and electricity sectors for biogas and biomass supply, demand,...
conference paper 2014
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Zhang, C. (author), Qin, C. (author)
This research is conducted to explore the growing trend of private vehicles in Beijing, China, in the coming 25 years using the system dynamics (SD) method. The vensim software is used to build the SD model and do simulations. First, the paper introduces the background of the private vehicles in Beijing and analyzes the issues of traffic...
conference paper 2014
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Mannaerts, A. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author), Van Luipen, J. (author), Meijer, S.A. (author)
With a sizeable expected growth of demand for rail transport in the Netherlands in the coming decades, and limited resources for expansion of the rail network, intensified utilization of the infrastructure is to be expected. To adequately manage this growth, appropriate tools for policy analysis are needed. The possibilities and pitfalls of...
conference paper 2013
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Islam, T. (author), Vasilopoulos, C. (author), Pruyt, E. (author)
Years of turmoil in the banking sector have revealed the need to assess bank performance under deep uncertainty and identify vulnerabilities to different types of risks. Banks are not the safe houses of old. Today, banks are highly uncertain dynamically complex systems that are permanently at risk due to internal and external stresses and...
conference paper 2013
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)
Import dependency and the extent of renewable gas production are two outcomes of interest concerning the future of gas supply in the Netherlands. Due to the complexity of internal mechanisms and uncertainties associated with the natural gas production, the production of renewable gases, and the demand for gas, the future of these two outcomes of...
conference paper 2013
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Broersma, S. (author), Fremouw, M.A. (author), Van den Dobbelsteen, A.A.J.F. (author)
It is difficult to fully satisfy the energy demand of today’s society with renewables. Nevertheless, most of the energy we use is lost as non-functional waste energy, whereas a large part of the built environment’s energy demand is only for low-quality energy, so the initial demand for primary, high-quality energy can be reduced by more...
journal article 2013
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Pruyt, E. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author)
Integrated risk-capability analysis methodologies for dealing with increasing degrees of complexity and deep uncertainty are urgently needed in an ever more complex and uncertain world. Although scenario approaches, risk assessment methods, and capability analysis methods are used, few organizations and nations use truly integrated risk...
conference paper 2012
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Pruyt, E. (author), Coumou, J. (author)
Lyme disease due to infection with Lyme borreliosis poses an uncertain dynamic threat to the Dutch and their public health system. This risk was used to develop and illustrate two variants of a National Risk Assessment approaches for slumbering/latent risks. This paper explains and illustrates the System Dynamics-based variant using the societal...
conference paper 2012
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De Groen, A. (author), Pruyt, E. (author), Boumeester, H.J.F.M. (author)
Social rental housing ought to function as safety net for the lower income groups in the housing system. However, the Dutch housing system has a relatively large social housing stock in relation to other housing systems in Europe – larger than would be required for a safety net for lower income groups. Hence, households which are financially...
conference paper 2012
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Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Slinger, J.H. (author)
Coastal communities dependent upon groundwater resources for drinking water and irrigation are vulnerable to salinization of the groundwater reserve. The increasing uncertainty associated with changing climatic conditions, population and economic development, and technological advances poses significant challenges for freshwater management. The...
conference paper 2012
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)
Unconventional gas has raised debates all over the world following its considerable contribution to the natural gas production of some countries such as the US. The Netherlands, which is a prominent gas producer in the Western Europe, also considers unconventional resources as an alternative to conventional production, which is estimated to...
conference paper 2012
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Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Timmermans, J.S. (author)
Rockström et al. (2009) introduced the concept of a safe operating space for humanity that will not push the planet out of the ‘Holocene state’. These limits are being investigated for various earth bound systems. Estimates of these limits are plagued by uncertainty. In case of the limits to the world water system, these uncertainties arise out...
conference paper 2012
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