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Melese, Y.G. (author), Heijnen, P.W. (author), Stikkelman, R.M. (author)
Development of networked energy infrastructures (like gas pipe networks), generally requires a significant amount of capital investment under resources, market and institutional uncertainties. Several independent suppliers and consumers are to be connected into these networks. However, the actual commitment of these parties and the capacities...
journal article 2014
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Pande, S. (author)
Quantile hydrologic model selection and structure deficiency assessment is applied in three case studies. The performance of quantile model selection problem is rigorously evaluated using a model structure on the French Broad river basin data set. The case study shows that quantile model selection encompasses model selection strategies based on...
journal article 2013
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Pande, S. (author)
A theory for quantile based hydrologic model selection and model structure deficiency assessment is presented. The paper demonstrates that the degree to which a model selection problem is constrained by the model structure (measured by the Lagrange multipliers of the constraints) quantifies structural deficiency. This leads to a formal...
journal article 2013
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)
Import dependency and the extent of renewable gas production are two outcomes of interest concerning the future of gas supply in the Netherlands. Due to the complexity of internal mechanisms and uncertainties associated with the natural gas production, the production of renewable gases, and the demand for gas, the future of these two outcomes of...
conference paper 2013
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Wang, L. (author), Van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author), Vrijling, J.K. (author), Ranasinghe, R.W.M.R.J.B. (author), Maskey, S. (author)
To guarantee a safe flood defence in a changing environment, the adaptation to climate change needs to be considered in the design of river dikes. However, the large uncertainty in the projections of future climate leads to varied estimations of future flood probability. How to cope with the uncertainties in future flood probability under...
conference paper 2013
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Herder, P.M. (author), Pulles, K. (author)
conference paper 2013
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Haasnoot, M. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Walker, W.E. (author), Ter Maat, J. (author)
A new paradigm for planning under conditions of deep uncertainty has emerged in the literature. According to this paradigm, a planner should create a strategic vision of the future, commit to short-term actions, and establish a framework to guide future actions. A plan that embodies these ideas allows for its dynamic adaptation over time to meet...
journal article 2013
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Taneja, P. (author)
Ports are beset with many uncertainties about their futures. They are confronted with new demands in terms of functions and scales, new external constraints, and changed expectations. The inability to adequately meet these demands can mean costly adaptations for a port, or loss of cargo and competitive position. A plausible reason is that the...
doctoral thesis 2013
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)
Unconventional gas has raised debates all over the world following its considerable contribution to the natural gas production of some countries such as the US. The Netherlands, which is a prominent gas producer in the Western Europe, also considers unconventional resources as an alternative to conventional production, which is estimated to...
conference paper 2012
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Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Haasnoot, M. (author)
Sustainable water management in a changing environment full of uncertainty is a profound challenge. To deal with uncertainties, dynamic adaptive policies can be used. Such policies can change over time in response to how the future unfolds, to what we learn about the system, to changes in environment, and to changes in societal preferences. This...
conference paper 2012
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Wiebenga, J.H. (author), Van den Boorgaard, A.H. (author), Klaseboer, G. (author)
The coupling of finite element simulations to mathematical optimization techniques has contributed significantly to product improvements and cost reductions in the metal forming industries. The next challenge is to bridge the gap between deterministic optimization techniques and the industrial need for robustness. This paper introduces a...
journal article 2012
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Haasnoot, M. (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Walker, W.E. (author)
Water management in river deltas is increasingly being challenged by pressures from population growth, sea level rise, increasing variability in river runoffs, and potential climate change. Adaptation to such changes is not only determined by what is known or anticipated at present, but also by what will be experienced and learned as the future...
conference paper 2012
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Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Timmermans, J.S. (author)
In the Nature article ‘A safe operating space for humanity’, Rockström et al. (2009) introduce the concept of a safe operating space for humanity. A safe operating space is the space for human activities that will not push the planet out of the ‘Holocene state’ that has seen human civilizations arise, develop, and thrive. Rockström et al. have...
conference paper 2012
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)
The natural gas production in the Netherlands is estimated to decline significantly in the coming 25 years. This situation has led producers to consider alternatives such as unconventional gas resources which are successfully utilized in the US and debated all over the world. However, despite the substantial initial resource estimates,...
conference paper 2012
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Gersonius, B. (author)
This dissertation presents a potential way forward for adaptation to climate change, termed the resilience approach. This approach takes a dynamic perspective on adaptive processes and the effects of these processes at/across different spatio-temporal scales. Experience is provided with four methods that can be used to apply the resilience...
doctoral thesis 2012
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Rijcken, T. (author), Stijnen, J. (author), Slootjes, N. (author)
The Dutch Delta Program is currently developing new government policies for flood protection and fresh water supply. Decision support instruments have to address the program’s technical and political complexity. The water system functions are highly interwoven and would benefit from an integrated approach on a national level, with decisions...
journal article 2012
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Yao, W. (author), Chen, X. (author), Zhao, Y. (author), Van Tooren, M.J.L. (author)
To comprehensively assess fractionated spacecraft, an assessment tool is developed based on lifecycle simulation under uncertainty driven by modular evolutionary stochastic models. First, fractionated spacecraft nomenclature and architecture are clarified, and assessment criteria are analyzed. The mean and standard deviation of risk adjusted...
journal article 2012
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Taneja, P. (author), Ligteringen, H. (author), Walker, W.E. (author)
Recently, flexibility has received much attention from port researchers, designers, and managers. This is because the stability of the competitive environment of the past has been replaced by increasing uncertainty. The current economic crisis and the recent trends in ports and shipping sectors are causing port planners to rethink their approach...
journal article 2012
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Máhr, T. (author)
In this thesis, the main focus is on the study of a real-world transportation problem with uncertainties, and on the comparison of a centralized and a distributed solution approach in the context of this problem. We formalize the real-world problem, and provide a general framework to extend it with different sources of uncertainty. We apply...
doctoral thesis 2011
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Roggema, R.E. (author)
Current spatial planning and design practice regards urban and rural spatial systems as simple systems. The proposed design strategies are often one-dimensional, one-problem and one-solution oriented. As a consequence, they often decrease the flexibility of urban systems to cope with uncertainty and the occurrence of weather extremes. Spatial...
conference paper 2011
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