Scenarios about development and implications of automated vehicles in the Netherlands

Automated driving technology is emerging. Yet, less is known about when automated vehicles will hit the market, how penetration rates will evolve and to what extent this new transportation technology will affect transportation demand and planning. This study identified through scenario analysis plausible future development paths of automated...

Policy and society related implications of automated driving: A review of literature and directions for future research

Automated driving has been receiving enormous attention by industry, government and academia. Although high expectations rest on this evolving transportation technology, little is known about its impacts. Most papers published so far have explored technological aspects of vehicle automation and impacts on driver and traffic flow characteristics....

Development of automated vehicles in the Netherlands: Scenarios for 2030 and 2050

This study identified through scenario analysis plausible future development paths of automated vehicles in the Netherlands and estimated potential implications for traffic, travel behaviour and transport planning on a time horizon up to 2030 and 2050. Four scenarios were constructed assuming combinations of high or low technological development...

The ripple effect of automated driving

Most papers published so far focus on traffic implications of automated driving, while papers that focus more on wider impacts do not present a respective conceptualization. This paper aims to fill this gap by proposing a conceptualization of policy and society related implications of automated driving inspired by the ripple effect model.