Breaking the Curse of Dimensionality: Polynomial Chaos for Exploratory Modelling

In light of worsening climate change and an increased interest in adapting infrastructure to cope with its effects, model-based decision support has become an essential tool for policy makers. In conditions of deep uncertainty, models may be used to explore a large space of possible system behaviours and so encourage a wider consideration of the...

Wind Farm Layout Optimisation Under Uncertainty Using Surrogate Models

This research aims to develop a method to create a wind farm layout that is robust against the uncertainty source, the inter-year variation of Weibull parameters and wind direction sector probabilities. A wind farm layout optimisation problem under uncertainty corresponds to optimisation under uncertainty (OUU), which is computationally...

Using polynomial chaos expansion for wind energy

Surrogate models are used to approximate the expensive ‘true’ simulation codes and thus have the potential to speed up the wind farm layout optimisation problem (WFLOP). One technique to make surrogate models is Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE). PCE can approximate a (wind farm) model by using orthogonal polynomials which are constructed based...