'Underwater' Real Estate: Exploring housing market dynamics under severe flooding in Rotterdam

Climate change will lead to more extreme climate and weather phenomena, and this includes the increased risk and severity of flooding. Flooding is one of the most destructive and common natural hazards globally, and rising sea levels and extreme precipitation mean that many human settlements will be situated in climate-sensitive areas. <br/><br/...

Understanding the geopolitical implications of a transition to green hydrogen as the dominant energy carrier

The effects of climate change on the global community are becoming more strongly felt every year, creating devastation on our everyday lives. To combat that, a transition to low-carbon energy carriers is being envisioned by state and private actors through pledges during climate conferences and several candidate carriers are proposed. Among...

Ex-ante assessment of social acceptance of sustainable heating systems in Amsterdam South East using Cross-Impact Balance analysis

The municipality of Amsterdam plans to transition away from its reliance on fossil fuel-based energy sources for residential heating by 2040. The municipality has laid out a roadmap that details possibilities for sustainable heating on a per-neighborhood basis. One neighborhood of particular interest is Geerdinkhof in Amsterdam South East. There...

Agent-based modelling in energy scenario development: An analysis of contemporary energy scenarios for the Netherlands

In order to determine how the energy sector of the Netherlands can or should look in the future, energy scenarios are used to explore possible alternative futures. Many scenarios for the Netherlands exist, but a classification of contemporary Dutch electricity scenarios is missing. Additionally, agent-based modelling (ABM) has often been...

Use of scenarios in participatory ADM: A comparative action research approach in the Paraná Delta, Argentina

In this thesis, the usage of scenarios for the participatory application of ADM is investigated in the context of the Paraná Delta, in Argentina. The focus is two-fold: (1) the research focuses on how a participatory design for ADM can be made, and (2) it focuses on which moment of the framework scenarios should be introduced in the...

The impact of blockchain technology on insurance business models: Stress testing the insurers' business models using the STOF Model

As the insurance industry engages in numerous processes which are characterized by the exchange of data which is updated by multiple parties; a blockchain, as a single source of truth, has the potential to increase efficiency and reduce the complexity of these processes. However, the complexity, uncertainty, transforming potential and barriers...

A scenario analysis of the energy use in the U.S. steel industry: Possibilities for and limitations to energy transition

Much attention is directed towards how to rapidly decarbonise the energy system. Unlike the present energy system based on fossil fuels, an energy system based on renewable energy sources with hydrogen and electricity as energy carriers would be sustainable in terms of CO2 emissions. Whereas in certain sectors (e.g. transport) the opportunities...

Institutional Relationships Promoting the Development of Chinese Green Industry

Every five years, China develops a long-term plan called Five Year Plan. In recent fifteen years, China’s rapid economic development with environmental issues is becoming increasingly important. Until China’s 12th Five Year plan in 2010, it explicitly pointed out to promote green energy and develop energy-efficient economy to keep the country’s...

Effects of global long term scenarios on container throughput in the port of Rotterdam: A worldwide modelling approach

In the past decades there has been a steep increase in global trade. The current crises however emphasize that trends can change quickly and have a lasting effect on the economy. Due to their large, long term investments, ports in particular need a good understanding of the future state of transport and logistics systems. Scenario based modeling...

The "future traveller": A model based approach to determine passenger demand at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol

Business models for service delivery to smart homes in cooperation with Dutch grid operators

Grid operators in the Netherlands are forced by regulations to introduce the smart metering service in the Netherlands. Consumers in the household have a better insight in their energy usage using the smart metering service. There are opportunities for the grid operator to cooperate with other service providers to share costs regarding the...