Using Causal Discovery to Design Agent-based Models

Designing agent-based models is a difficult task. Some guidelines exist to aid modelers in designing their models, but they generally do not include specific details on how the behavior of agents can be defined. This paper therefore proposes the AbCDe methodology, which uses causal discovery algorithms to specify agent behavior. The methodology...

Diffusion of clean cooking practices in refugee settings: An agent-based exploratory modelling study of market-based interventions

Access to clean energy has long been neglected within the humanitarian agenda. As a result, refugees are often locked into unsustainable and risky energy practices, especially in low-income countries. This study focuses on market-based interventions to deliver clean cooking fuels in refugee camps in protracted crises. The outcomes of market...

Capturing Agents in Security Models: Agent-based Security Risk Management using Causal Discovery

Airports are important transportation hubs that reside in the heart of modern civilizations.They are of major economic and symbolic value for countries but are thereforealso attractive targets for adversaries. Over the years we have observed successful andunsuccessful terrorist attacks at airports, of which the recent Brussels Airport attack...

Multi-agent Automated Negotiation Approach to Aircraft Maintenance: Non-routine Materiel Procurement

In aircraft maintenance, performance of routine maintenance tasks is prone to generate additional non-routine tasks. These non- routine tasks relate to solving an unexpected issue and have specific requirements in terms of materiel, tools and manpower. In existing research regarding optimization of aircraft maintenance environments and schedules...

Agent-based Security and Efficiency Estimation in Airport Terminals

We investigate the use of an Agent-based framework to identify and quantify the relationship between security and efficiency within airport terminals. In this framework, we define a novel Security Risk Assessment methodology that explicitly models attacker and defender behavior in a security scenario. It produces a security risk vector,...

Emergent Behaviour of Trajectory Based Operations Under Very High En-route Traffic Demand

Effective collaboration between planning controller, tactical controller and pilots in handling various uncertainties and hazards is the result of decades of evolutionary development. The forthcoming paradigm shift to Trajectory Based Operations (TBO) requires a similarly effective collaboration between the TBO layer and a tactical layer....