Automated Vehicles: Changes in expert opinions over time

Innovations in transportation can contribute to reaching relevant societal objectives (e.g. reduce emissions, congestion levels and/or risks). To determine which innovations to stimulate (and which not) it is important for policy makers to assess their effects on beforehand. Expert judgement is an often-used method for this purpose. Although...

Governance cultures and sociotechnical imaginaries of self-driving vehicle technology: Comparative analysis of Finland, UK and Germany

As an emerging technology, the potential deployment of self-driving vehicles (SDVs) in cities is attributed with significant uncertainties and anticipated consequences requiring responsible governance of innovation processes. Despite a growing number of studies on policies and governance arrangements for managing the introduction of SDVs,...

Implications of automated vehicles for accessibility and location choices: Evidence from an expert-based experiment

In this paper, possible accessibility impacts of fully automated vehicles (AVs) are explored. A conceptual framework for those impacts is developed based on the model of four accessibility components (i.e. land use, transport, temporal and individual) of Geurs and van Wee (2004). Q-method is applied among a sample of seventeen international...

Development and transport implications of automated vehicles in the Netherlands: Scenarios for 2030 and 2050

Automated driving technology is emerging. Yet, little is known in the literature about when automated vehicles will reach the market, how penetration rates will evolve and to what extent this new transport technology will affect transport demand and planning. This study uses scenario analysis to identify plausible future development paths of...

Scenarios about development and implications of automated vehicles in the Netherlands

Automated driving technology is emerging. Yet, less is known about when automated vehicles will hit the market, how penetration rates will evolve and to what extent this new transportation technology will affect transportation demand and planning. This study identified through scenario analysis plausible future development paths of automated...

Development of automated vehicles in the Netherlands: Scenarios for 2030 and 2050

This study identified through scenario analysis plausible future development paths of automated vehicles in the Netherlands and estimated potential implications for traffic, travel behaviour and transport planning on a time horizon up to 2030 and 2050. Four scenarios were constructed assuming combinations of high or low technological development...

The ripple effect of automated driving

Most papers published so far focus on traffic implications of automated driving, while papers that focus more on wider impacts do not present a respective conceptualization. This paper aims to fill this gap by proposing a conceptualization of policy and society related implications of automated driving inspired by the ripple effect model.