Emergence: Mutual-Aid Cooperative Housing as a Complex Adaptive System: A plan for future development and architectural prototypes for Anchieta Occupation, São Paulo, Brazil.

This research delves into the understanding of self-constructed settlement as a complex adaptive system, specifically focusing on Anchieta Occupation in São Paulo, Brazil. The design hypothesis posits that informal settlements embody highly adaptable systems, offering valuable insights for housing development strategies. The complex socio...

Transitioning from natural gas to carbon-free households in the Netherlands: The influence of behavioral characteristics and policy conditions in the heat transition

In the face of the current environmental crisis led by the extended use of fossil fuels to cover society’s energy needs, sustainability objectives have been defined around the world. In the European Union, the European Green Deal has emerged as a leading guideline for its member states to achieve energy neutrality by 2050. The Netherlands has...

Analysing the impact of cyber insurance on the cyber security ecosystem: Utilising agent-based modelling to explore the effects of insurance policies

Cyberattacks are a constant threat to organisations worldwide. The uncertainty and difficulty of properly conducting cyber risk management processes do not make it easier for organisations to cope with cyberattacks. Cyber insurance can be a partial solution to the dilemma that organisations face. However, it has not seen the expected growth...

Simulating ecosystem-level cybersecurity for the future generation of critical infrastructures: Exploring the impact of cyber-defensive strategies on critical infrastructures through agent-based modelling

The increased decentralisation and heterogeneity of critical infrastructure systems pose a threat to the safe and secure operation of critical infrastructures by complicating cybersecurity procedures. The increased frequency and impact of cyberthreats have led to the desire to develop coherent security policies. In order to explore the effects...

The Self-Organization of Stuff

The common description of the configuration of stuff in a room, one of order (tidy) and chaos (messy), fails to explain the phenomenon that artifacts create structures around people and activities in a space, with both functional and cognitive properties. This form of organization, that is recognizable on various scale levels, emerges...

Haringvliet towards a dynamic balance

This project under the consideration of change of water by opening can deliver a dynamic balance of ecology quality, water safety and economic development.

Agent-Based Modelling of an Airport’s Ground Surface Movement Operation: Understanding the principles and mechanisms of decentralised control

Decentralised air traffic control shifts decision making to a local level, allowing decentralised controllers to focus on solving local conflicts. Since decentralised controllers have accurate local information at their disposal, they can adapt quicker and more efficiently to changing conditions. Consequently, it is suggested that the dynamics...

Towards Formalization and Operationalization of Resilience: A study on anticipation in the context of airport security operations

Resilience can be understood as the intrinsic ability of a system to adapt its functioning prior to, during, or following changes and disturbances, so that it can sustain required operations and performance under both expected and unexpected conditions. The need to explore the concept of resilience, in the context of socio-technical systems, is...

Transformative Modeling: Building Capacity for Transformation in Large Scale Socio-Technical Systems using Computer Modeling with Stakeholders

Coherent responses to wicked problems such as climate change require a new way of doing science and tools to give insight into the transformation of large-scale socio-technical systems. Simulation models support transformative processes by offering a simplified version of reality and a boundary object that unites stakeholders around a simplified...

Future trends for biojet fuel and biosuccinic acid production in São Paulo state, Brazil: An agent-based modelling and simulation approach to explore institutional barriers and opportunities

Within the context of growing concerns about oil supply security and greenhouse gas emissions, both the aviation and petrochemical sector are exploring alternative feedstocks for the production of jet fuel and chemicals, respectively. In that light, research into bio-based jet fuels (biojet fuel) and bio-based chemicals has been accelerating in...

Business ecosystems governance: A framework for tackling complex systems

This document is the final Master Thesis Dissertation of Alexios Pagkozidis during academic year 2011-2013. It describes the findings of the research related to Business Ecosystem Innovation Governance for Smart Living platforms. The research was done with collaboration of Delft University of Technology and TP Vision B.V.. This work is part of...

Secret Agents: An exploratory study to the added value of Agent-Based modeling to the Strategic Geopolitical Intelligence process of NATO state intelligence services

The events of the Arab spring reminds us how individual citizens have the power to overthrow powerful regimes and destabilize complete regions. The dynamics of such bottom-up instigated revolutions seem to be in line with the (Social) Constructivism paradigm. The problem though, is that this paradigm lacks a powerful forecasting method that...

Towards a Tailored Institutional Analysis within the Complex Systems of Delta Regions - The Design of a Tool for Institutional Analysis regarding Flood Risk Management in the Delta Cities of New Orleans, USA and Rotterdam, the Netherlands

In the complex, adaptive systems of delta regions institutions are needed to arrange the behavior of the parties involved in the system. Institutions are systems of interrelated shared concepts consisting of strategies, rules and embedded norms used by humans to structure situations. When looking at the characteristics of a complex adaptive...