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Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Curran, A.N. (author), Bouwer, L. M. (author)Floods are amongst the most frequent disasters in terms of human and economic impacts. This study provides new insights into the frequency of loss of life at the global scale, mortality fractions of the population exposed to floods, and underlying trends. A dataset is compiled based on the EM-DAT disaster database covering the period 1975...journal article 2024
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Vader, Hidde (author), Bakker, A.M.R. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van den Boomen, M. (author), van Baaren, Esther (author), Diermanse, Ferdinand L.M. (author)Over the course of the last century, storm surge barriers have been built in several countries and proven to be successful in preventing flooding. However, the operation, reliability, and remaining life of these structures have come under increased pressure due to changing demands, intensified utilisation, and climate change. Yet, there is...journal article 2023
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Pol, J.C. (author), Kindermann, P.E. (author), van der Krogt, M.G. (author), van Bergeijk, Vera M. (author), Remmerswaal, G. (author), Kanning, W. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Kok, M. (author)Structural reliability analysis often considers failure mechanisms as correlated but non-interacting processes. Interacting failure mechanisms affect each others performance, and thereby the system reliability. We describe such interactions in the context of flood defenses, and analyze under which conditions such interactions have a large impact...journal article 2023
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Xu, H. (author), Ragno, E. (author), Tan, Jinkai (author), Antonini, A. (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Liu, Qing (author), Wang, Jun (author)Extreme surges and rainfall represent major driving factors for compound flooding in estuary regions along the Chinese coast. The combined effect of extreme surges and rainfall (that is, compound floods) might lead to greater impacts than if the drivers occurred in isolation. Hence, understanding the frequency and severity of compound...journal article 2023
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Mooyaart, L.F. (author), Bakker, A.M.R. (author), van den Bogaard, Johan A. (author), Rijcken, T. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Storm surge barriers are large movable hydraulic structures which close during a storm surge to prevent coastal floods. In the regions they protect, a failure to close the barrier is often the most likely cause for a catastrophic flood. Nevertheless, flood risk assessments usually only focus on raising flood defences behind the barrier....journal article 2023
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Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), de Moel, H. (author), Moll, J.R. (author), Slager, K. (author)The heavy precipitation along with the river floods of July 2021 was an extreme and exceptional event in several countries in North-western Europe. It had major societal impacts in the Netherlands, Belgium, Luxemburg and Germany and was one of the most disastrous flood events in Europe of the last decades.journal article 2023
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Mooyaart, L.F. (author), Bakker, A.M.R. (author), van den Bogaard, J.A. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Coastal defenses must be upgraded to combat increasing flood risk due to climate change and other factors. Storm surge barriers, large movable hydraulic structures that close temporarily during storm surges to prevent coastal floods, play a vital role in protecting estuaries. Due to the complexity of their risk analyses, important improvements...conference paper 2023
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Kool, J.J. (author), Kanning, W. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)This study introduces a method for assessing the annual failure rate of levees based on information from historical floods, while also considering the return period of these past events. Also, an approach has been developed to quantify the influence of deviating conditions on failure rates. The presence of deviating conditions at failed and...journal article 2022
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Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Berchum, E.C. (author)Many coastal areas around the world are densely populated and at risk from flooding, but utilize different strategies to deal with coastal hazard. This chapter summarizes how Dutch concepts for coastal flood risk reduction have been explored for Galveston Bay. Firstly, it is shown how risk-based screening methods can help to evaluate various...book chapter 2022
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Brussee, A.R. (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), De Bruijn, Karin M. (author), Verhoeven, Govert F. (author), Winsemius, H.C. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Flood simulations are important for flood (fatality) risk assessment. This article provides insight into the sensitivity of flood fatality risks to the model resolution of flood simulations and to several uncertain parameters in the loss of life model used. A case study is conducted for river flooding in a polder in the Netherlands (the...journal article 2021
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Ke, Q. (author), Yin, Jiangshan (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), Savage, Nicholas (author), Buonomo, Erasmo (author), Ye, Qinghua (author), Visser, P.J. (author), Dong, Guangtao (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Climate change leads to sea level rise worldwide, as well as increases in the intensity and frequency of tropical cyclones (TCs). Storm surge induced by TC’s, together with spring tides, threatens to cause failure of flood defenses, resulting in massive flooding in low-lying coastal areas. However, limited research has been done on the...journal article 2021
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Tieleman, Orson (author), Hofland, Bas (author), Tsouvalas, A. (author), de Almeida Sousa, E. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)This paper establishes a computationally efficient model to predict flood gate vibrations due to wave impacts including fluid–structure interaction. In contrast to earlier models, composite fluid domains are included to represent the situation of a flood gate in a dewatering sluice with the presence of an overhang that causes the confined-wave...journal article 2021
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Jansen, L. (author), Korswagen, Paul A. (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), Pasterkamp, S. (author), de Bruijn, K.M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Failure of residential buildings during floods is an important cause of damage and loss of life. In the case of the Netherlands, the collapse of buildings is implicitly included in current damage and mortality curves since these are generated from historical data. However, the Netherlands has not experienced destructive flooding since 1953, so...journal article 2020
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Yin, Jie (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Lin, Ning (author), Yu, Dapeng (author), Aerts, Jeroen (author), Wilby, Robert (author), Pan, Ming (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), Ke, Q. (author)Sea level rise (SLR) and subsidence are expected to increase the risk of flooding and reliance on flood defenses for cities built on deltas. Here, we combine reliability analysis with hydrodynamic modeling to quantify the effect of projected relative SLR on dike failures and flood hazards for Shanghai, one of the most exposed delta cities. We...journal article 2020
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Kool, J.J. (author), Kanning, W. (author), Jommi, C. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Hindcasting of past levee failures enhances insights in the performance and vulnerability of levees. The scarcity of field evidence makes identifying the cause(s) of failure difficult. Under these circumstances, multiple scenarios and model choices are possible to characterise and to model the failure. This paper shows how probabilistic...journal article 2020
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Lendering, K.T. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Ledden, Mathijs (author), Vrijling, J.K. (author)Flood risk reduction can be provided by interventions such as raising land or constructing flood defences. This paper introduces an approach to optimise the selection of risk reduction strategies. It expands existing economic optimization approaches for flood defences, by introducing (largely) analytical formulations to include the effects of...journal article 2020
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Vuik, V. (author), Borsje, Bas W. (author), Willemsen, Pim W.J.M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Flood risks are increasing worldwide due to climate change and ongoing economic and demographic development in coastal areas. Salt marshes can function as vegetated foreshores that reduce wave loads on coastal structures such as dikes and dams, thereby mitigating current and future flood risk. This paper aims to quantify long-term (100 years)...journal article 2019
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Tieleman, Orson (author), Tsouvalas, A. (author), Hofland, Bas (author), Peng, Y. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)A model is developed to predict bending vibrations of flood gates with fluid on both sides. The liquid flow is three-dimensional and the gate is represented as a thin plate. The fluid response is considered within the linear potential flow theory including the effect of compressibility and the generation of free surface waves. This way, the...journal article 2019
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Özer, I.E. (author), van Damme, M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Understanding levee failures can be significantly improved by analysing historical failures, experiments and performance observations. Individual efforts have been undertaken to document flood defence failures but no systematically gathered large scale, open access dataset is currently available for thorough scientific research. Here, we...journal article 2019
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Korswagen, Paul A. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Terwel, K.C. (author)Evaluating and predicting structural damage from multi-hazards is a complex task mainly due to the varying ways in which hazards affect structures. Also, different damage scales that employ different parameters and criteria are used for evaluating the hazards, making a connection between the damage assessment of two or more hazards difficult....journal article 2019