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Mooyaart, L.F. (author), Bakker, A.M.R. (author), van den Bogaard, Johan A. (author), Rijcken, T. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Storm surge barriers are large movable hydraulic structures which close during a storm surge to prevent coastal floods. In the regions they protect, a failure to close the barrier is often the most likely cause for a catastrophic flood. Nevertheless, flood risk assessments usually only focus on raising flood defences behind the barrier....journal article 2023
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Kool, J.J. (author), Kanning, W. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)This study introduces a method for assessing the annual failure rate of levees based on information from historical floods, while also considering the return period of these past events. Also, an approach has been developed to quantify the influence of deviating conditions on failure rates. The presence of deviating conditions at failed and...journal article 2022
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Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Berchum, E.C. (author)Many coastal areas around the world are densely populated and at risk from flooding, but utilize different strategies to deal with coastal hazard. This chapter summarizes how Dutch concepts for coastal flood risk reduction have been explored for Galveston Bay. Firstly, it is shown how risk-based screening methods can help to evaluate various...book chapter 2022
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Brussee, A.R. (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), De Bruijn, Karin M. (author), Verhoeven, Govert F. (author), Winsemius, H.C. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Flood simulations are important for flood (fatality) risk assessment. This article provides insight into the sensitivity of flood fatality risks to the model resolution of flood simulations and to several uncertain parameters in the loss of life model used. A case study is conducted for river flooding in a polder in the Netherlands (the...journal article 2021
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Yin, Jie (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Lin, Ning (author), Yu, Dapeng (author), Aerts, Jeroen (author), Wilby, Robert (author), Pan, Ming (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), Ke, Q. (author)Sea level rise (SLR) and subsidence are expected to increase the risk of flooding and reliance on flood defenses for cities built on deltas. Here, we combine reliability analysis with hydrodynamic modeling to quantify the effect of projected relative SLR on dike failures and flood hazards for Shanghai, one of the most exposed delta cities. We...journal article 2020
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Lendering, K.T. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Ledden, Mathijs (author), Vrijling, J.K. (author)Flood risk reduction can be provided by interventions such as raising land or constructing flood defences. This paper introduces an approach to optimise the selection of risk reduction strategies. It expands existing economic optimization approaches for flood defences, by introducing (largely) analytical formulations to include the effects of...journal article 2020
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Vuik, V. (author), Borsje, Bas W. (author), Willemsen, Pim W.J.M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Flood risks are increasing worldwide due to climate change and ongoing economic and demographic development in coastal areas. Salt marshes can function as vegetated foreshores that reduce wave loads on coastal structures such as dikes and dams, thereby mitigating current and future flood risk. This paper aims to quantify long-term (100 years)...journal article 2019
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Özer, I.E. (author), van Damme, M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Understanding levee failures can be significantly improved by analysing historical failures, experiments and performance observations. Individual efforts have been undertaken to document flood defence failures but no systematically gathered large scale, open access dataset is currently available for thorough scientific research. Here, we...journal article 2019
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Lendering, K.T. (author), Sebastian, Antonia (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Kok, M. (author)The application of risk-based approaches for the design of flood infrastructure has become increasingly common in flood management. This approach, based on risk reduction and reliability, is used to assess the performance of conventional interventions (e.g., flood defences and dams) and to support decisions regarding their implementation....journal article 2018
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Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Voortman, H.G. (author), Klerk, W.J. (author), van Vuren, S. (author)This article highlights recent developments in flood risk management in the Netherlands and presents approaches for reliability analysis and asset management for flood defences and hydraulic infrastructure. The functioning of this infrastructure is of great importance for the country as large parts of it are prone to flooding. Based on a...journal article 2018
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Ke, Q. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author), Bricker, J.D. (author)Shanghai, as a coastal city, is vulnerable to various types of flooding. The floodwalls along the Huangpu River provide protection against typhoon-induced flooding. However, there is limited insight into the actual safety level of the flood defences in Shanghai, and recent failures have highlighted their vulnerability. Therefore, the aims of...journal article 2018
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van Berchum, E.C. (author), Mobley, William (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Timmermans, Jos (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Brody, Samuel D. (author)Large, complex coastal regions often require a combination of interventions to lower the risk of flooding to an acceptable level. In practice, a limited number of strategies are considered and interdependencies between interventions are often simplified. This paper presents the Multiple Lines of Defence Optimization System (MODOS)‐model. This...journal article 2018
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Lendering, K.T. (author), Sebastian, Antonia (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Floods are the costliest and deadliest weather-related disaster globally. With higher population density in flood prone areas, increased urban development, and projected climate impacts, the frequency and severity of flooding in Europe is predicted to rise. While permanent flood defences have been shown to be more economically effective and...abstract 2017
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Sebastian, Antonia (author), Lendering, K.T. (author), Kothuis, B.L.M. (author), Brand, A.D. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author), Godfroij, Maartje (author), Kolen, B. (author), Comes, M. (author), Lhermitte, S.L.M. (author), Meesters, Kenny (author), van de Walle, B.A. (author), Ebrahimi Fard, A. (author), Cunningham, S. (author), Khakzad, N. (author), Nespeca, V. (author)On August 25, 2017, Hurricane Harvey made landfall near Rockport, Texas as a Category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of approximately 200 km/hour. Harvey caused severe damages in coastal Texas due to extreme winds and storm surge, but will go down in history for record-setting rainfall totals and flood-related damages. Across large...report 2017
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Paprotny, D. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Morales Napoles, O. (author)Objectives<br/>Since the beginning of the second industrial revolution in the second half of the 19th century, Europe’s society and economy has been profoundly transformed. The population doubled in the last 150 years, together with more than fourfold increase in number of dwellings and 30-fold increase in production value in real terms. At the...abstract 2017
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van Berchum, E.C. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Timmermans, Jos (author), Brody, S.D. (author)loods can have a huge impact on the regions they affect. The impact of these disasters can be reduced with a flood risk management system. Flood-prone regions often require a combination of interventions to reduce the risk to an acceptable level. The amount of risk reduction provided by various interventions can be quantified using probabilistic...abstract 2017
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Mooyaart, L.F. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)The risk of flooding in coastal zones is expected to increase due to sea level rise and economic development. In larger bays, estuaries, and coastal waterways, storm surge barriers can be constructed to temporarily close off these systems during storm surges to provide coastal flood protection. Worldwide, 18 storm surge barriers have been...journal article 2017
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Jonkman, S.N. (author), Schweckendiek, T. (author)This paper presents and overview of advances in flood risk and levee reliability analysis in the Netherlands. It is described how new safety standards – in the form of a target failure probability – have been derived on the basis of nationwide flood risk assessments which taken into account both economic risk and risk to life. The process for...conference paper 2015
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Jonkman, S.N. (author), Schweckendiek, T. (author)This paper presents and overview of advances in flood risk and levee reliability analysis in the Netherlands. It is described how new safety standards – in the form of a target failure probability – have been derived on the basis of nationwide flood risk assessments which taken into account both economic risk and risk to life. The process for...conference paper 2015
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Kothuis, B.L.M. (author), Brand, A.D. (author), Sebastian, A.G. (author), Nillesen, A.L. (author), Jonkman, S.N. (author)In 2008, Hurricane Ike devastated Bolivar Peninsula, narrowly missing the more heavily industrialized and populated areas in the region. In the aftermath of the hurricane, the Severe Storm Prediction, Education and Evacuation from Disasters (SSPEED) Center at Rice University in Houston, and Texas A&M University in Galveston (TAMUG) led...book 2015
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