The influence of deviating conditions on levee failure rates

This study introduces a method for assessing the annual failure rate of levees based on information from historical floods, while also considering the return period of these past events. Also, an approach has been developed to quantify the influence of deviating conditions on failure rates. The presence of deviating conditions at failed and...

Bayes Factors and the Observational Method

The statistics course most engineers took in college—seldom more than one—introduced them to a particular species of statistics, which, regrettably, is of limited use in geotechnical practice: frequentist sampling theory. That species of statistical thinking arose to address problems of agricultural experimentation, biology, and economics. It is...