Holistically improving screening decisions under uncertainty in aircraft conceptual design and technology assessment: Insights on bottom-up uncertainty quantification and propagation and integrated socio-technical group decision making

In the highly uncertain environment of conceptual aircraft design and technology assessment and selection, making good decisions is of utmost importance. Aiming to contribute to improving decision quality, the problem was researched from both a technical as well as a socio-psychological perspective. In the technical perspective, the uncertainty...