J.A. Annema
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259 records found
1
From high ambitions to low expectations
Why MIRT infrastructure projects fail to reach realisation
This thesis investigates the factors and mechanisms contributing to delay, pausing and stagnation within MIRT and examines how vulnerabilities in the decision-making process may be reduced. A qualitative explanatory research design was adopted, combining a literature review, document analysis, semi-structured interviews and comparative case analysis. Three contrasting project trajectories were examined: the Lelylijn, Vlietlijn and A2 Deil–Vught.
The findings show that project stagnation cannot be attributed to a single bottleneck. Instead, it emerges from interactions between political pressure, project complexity, multi-actor governance, programme-level scarcity and time. Importantly, the findings do not indicate that the formal MIRT framework is fundamentally flawed. Rather, vulnerabilities arise in its practical application. Relatively easy project entry, weak gatekeeping and difficult no-go decisions can allow unresolved assumptions and political commitments to persist across successive phases.
The study further shows that programme-level scarcity is not solely an external constraint but can become self-reinforcing. Political prioritisation of new ambitions, postponed maintenance and renewal, optimistic project assumptions and the continued retention of projects collectively increase pressure on limited resources. Projects may consequently enter a grey zone in which they remain politically and administratively active without a credible route towards realisation.
The thesis therefore concludes that MIRT does not require fundamental redesign, but stronger institutional discipline. More selective entry, consequential gate reviews, clearer pause and exit conditions, stronger long-term portfolio prioritisation and well-defined governance arrangements can improve the ability of MIRT to guide feasible and strategically important infrastructure projects towards realisation. ...
This thesis investigates the factors and mechanisms contributing to delay, pausing and stagnation within MIRT and examines how vulnerabilities in the decision-making process may be reduced. A qualitative explanatory research design was adopted, combining a literature review, document analysis, semi-structured interviews and comparative case analysis. Three contrasting project trajectories were examined: the Lelylijn, Vlietlijn and A2 Deil–Vught.
The findings show that project stagnation cannot be attributed to a single bottleneck. Instead, it emerges from interactions between political pressure, project complexity, multi-actor governance, programme-level scarcity and time. Importantly, the findings do not indicate that the formal MIRT framework is fundamentally flawed. Rather, vulnerabilities arise in its practical application. Relatively easy project entry, weak gatekeeping and difficult no-go decisions can allow unresolved assumptions and political commitments to persist across successive phases.
The study further shows that programme-level scarcity is not solely an external constraint but can become self-reinforcing. Political prioritisation of new ambitions, postponed maintenance and renewal, optimistic project assumptions and the continued retention of projects collectively increase pressure on limited resources. Projects may consequently enter a grey zone in which they remain politically and administratively active without a credible route towards realisation.
The thesis therefore concludes that MIRT does not require fundamental redesign, but stronger institutional discipline. More selective entry, consequential gate reviews, clearer pause and exit conditions, stronger long-term portfolio prioritisation and well-defined governance arrangements can improve the ability of MIRT to guide feasible and strategically important infrastructure projects towards realisation.
The AI Travel Advisor: Examining Generative AI’s Influence on Tourist Decision-Making
An Empirical Study of Destination Preferences, Sustainability Perception, and Transport Choices
This study's objective was to determine how interaction with AI-generated information and recommendations in travel-planning influences tourist decision-making. This question was examined across three domains of travel planning: destination preference, sustainability perception and behavioral intention, and transport choice.
To address this objective, the study employed an explanatory sequential mixed-methods design comprising three within-subjects experiments with 41 participants. Phase 1 examined destination preference shifts following open-ended ChatGPT interaction. Phase 2 investigated whether an AI-generated sustainability evaluation shifted travelers' sustainability perceptions and behavioral intentions. Phase 3 examined how AI-generated mobility advice shaped awareness and consideration of transport alternatives, as well as intended transport choice. Pre-post quantitative measures were combined with inductive content analysis of participant interviews to uncover the reasoning behind observed shifts.
Across all three phases, AI-generated advice shifted preferences and perceptions far more readily than it shifted intended behavior. In Phase 1, 88% of participants updated their destination preferences following AI interaction, resulting in choices that were, on average, less sustainable and skewed toward a recurring set of niche destinations. In Phase 2, AI-generated sustainability assessments significantly increased participants' perceived sustainability of a past trip, yet 68% indicated no intention to change their behavior on a repeat trip, with interviews pointing to validation-driven perception change. In Phase 3, only 30% of participants altered their intended transport plan after receiving AI mobility advice, though the majority reported learning new options and increased willingness to consider alternatives for future trips. Across all three phases, stated distrust of AI did not reliably predict resistance to its influence, and willingness and intent to use AI for future travel planning increased regardless of shifts to intended decisions. Participants consistently treated AI as a support tool rather than a final decision-maker, incorporating its output selectively into decisions they retained ownership over.
This study concludes that AI's influence on tourist decision-making is real but uneven across travel planning domains. It reliably reshapes what travelers prefer, perceive, are aware of, and are willing to consider, without requiring trust and without producing a matching shift in intended behavior. Destination preferences shifted most readily, often toward less sustainable and more niche choices; sustainability perceptions improved without motivating corresponding action; and transport choice showed the most limited influence of the three domains, with AI expanding awareness of alternatives more than it changed intended plans. These findings provide the first empirical evidence of how GenAI travel recommendations influence decision outcomes across destination choice, sustainability awareness, and transport behavior, informing both responsible AI design and efforts to steer tourism toward lower-impact patterns.
...
This study's objective was to determine how interaction with AI-generated information and recommendations in travel-planning influences tourist decision-making. This question was examined across three domains of travel planning: destination preference, sustainability perception and behavioral intention, and transport choice.
To address this objective, the study employed an explanatory sequential mixed-methods design comprising three within-subjects experiments with 41 participants. Phase 1 examined destination preference shifts following open-ended ChatGPT interaction. Phase 2 investigated whether an AI-generated sustainability evaluation shifted travelers' sustainability perceptions and behavioral intentions. Phase 3 examined how AI-generated mobility advice shaped awareness and consideration of transport alternatives, as well as intended transport choice. Pre-post quantitative measures were combined with inductive content analysis of participant interviews to uncover the reasoning behind observed shifts.
Across all three phases, AI-generated advice shifted preferences and perceptions far more readily than it shifted intended behavior. In Phase 1, 88% of participants updated their destination preferences following AI interaction, resulting in choices that were, on average, less sustainable and skewed toward a recurring set of niche destinations. In Phase 2, AI-generated sustainability assessments significantly increased participants' perceived sustainability of a past trip, yet 68% indicated no intention to change their behavior on a repeat trip, with interviews pointing to validation-driven perception change. In Phase 3, only 30% of participants altered their intended transport plan after receiving AI mobility advice, though the majority reported learning new options and increased willingness to consider alternatives for future trips. Across all three phases, stated distrust of AI did not reliably predict resistance to its influence, and willingness and intent to use AI for future travel planning increased regardless of shifts to intended decisions. Participants consistently treated AI as a support tool rather than a final decision-maker, incorporating its output selectively into decisions they retained ownership over.
This study concludes that AI's influence on tourist decision-making is real but uneven across travel planning domains. It reliably reshapes what travelers prefer, perceive, are aware of, and are willing to consider, without requiring trust and without producing a matching shift in intended behavior. Destination preferences shifted most readily, often toward less sustainable and more niche choices; sustainability perceptions improved without motivating corresponding action; and transport choice showed the most limited influence of the three domains, with AI expanding awareness of alternatives more than it changed intended plans. These findings provide the first empirical evidence of how GenAI travel recommendations influence decision outcomes across destination choice, sustainability awareness, and transport behavior, informing both responsible AI design and efforts to steer tourism toward lower-impact patterns.
Breaking the Blend Wall
A systematic deconstruction of barriers to the regional adoption of Sustainable Aviation
The research was conducted using a qualitative approach. The sample was composed of 14 specialists ranging from different key stakeholder groups. These key stakeholder groups were largely located in the higher rungs of the participation continuum, a model used in the stakeholder analysis which placed stakeholders along the continuum based on their level of participation in the SAF ecosystem. Semi-structured interviews then collected data, which were translated into codes. Using the Technological Innovation System (TIS) and its seven building blocks as a framework, all identified codes were grouped under one of the TIS building blocks. Based on this, three analyses were performed in parallel: barriers of SAF blending were identified, SAF production methods were compared against one another based on method-specific barriers, and strategic measures were formulated to overcome identified barriers alongside the actors who are responsible for enacting them. This, however, deviated from the TIS framework in the sense that it formulated a strategy for an entire industry and how stakeholders can collaborate as opposed to the formulation of a strategy for a single firm.
SAF blending above 50% is found to hold little to no priority among the SAF industry, which rather prioritizes upscaling of available capacity. This is because there is currently too little blend component available to achieve high blend percentages, regulatory limits do not instil an urgency to increase blends due to being small in number, and SAF supply methodologies are configured such that all SAF is blended to the bare minimum mandated. Only when such barriers are removed, and more blend component becomes available in the future, an increase in blend ratios and removal of the blend wall will be necessitated to achieve a higher sustainability impact of SAF in flight.
For SAF itself, it is found that the majority of TIS building blocks remain incompatible or partly incompatible. Product performance and quality are sufficient to some degree given that SAF can already be used in existing aircraft, but remain limited to blends of 50%. Product price is largely incompatible, the most cost-efficient SAF still being at least twice as expensive as conventional fuel due to energy-intensive processes and lack of technological maturity. The production system is similarly incompatible, projected to produce insufficient quantities of bio-SAF and e-SAF by 2030 due to long construction times and limited financial resources. Institutions and regulations are partly incompatible as they are widely in place but remain scattered and unclear. Network formation and coordination also remain partly incompatible, with limited participation and coordination concerning sustainability transitions. Uptake among customers remains limited due to their lack of knowledge and trust in SAF combined with the limited means by airlines to communicate. Only complementary infrastructure and services are fully compatible.
In terms of comparison between production methods, hydro-processed esters and fatty acids (HEFA) performs the best concerning product price and production system because it is a more mature technology. On the other hand, alcohol-to-jet (ATJ), catalytic hydrothermolysis jet (CHJ), and Fischer-Tropsch (FT) are still underdeveloped and more expensive, yet fall under the same mandated share of bio-SAF as HEFA, which causes them to be minimally stimulated. However, given HEFA’s limited impact due to its feedstock constraints, FT, ATJ, and CHJ technologies show future promise because they hold more potential with respect to unlocking the blend limit and have a larger pool of feedstock available. The same holds for synthetic SAF (e-SAF), although its energy-intensive processes remain a large bottleneck for future upscaling.
Paired with each identified key challenge comes an array of measures and actors that enables the industry to overcome these challenges. Mandates and regulations alongside incentives and subsidies most commonly contribute to bridging challenges concerning price, production system, and regulations. Meanwhile, product quality, performance, and infrastructure require further developments in technology and designated infrastructure. For network formation, stakeholder coordination, and customers, emphasis is more often placed on knowledge building and sharing, networking, and raising awareness. Depending on the context of the challenges and coupled measures, different levels of participation are required among stakeholders.
From these findings, the research reveals a comprehensive overview of barriers to large-scale SAF adoption. The application of the TIS framework in a multi-actor system broadens the perspective on barriers and strategies beyond the level of individual firms, illustrating that the strategies to help overcome the barriers are not enacted by a single stakeholder. Instead, to achieve the successful introduction of SAF, dynamic collaboration and coordination within the industry are required, with each stakeholder fulfilling different roles when faced with different challenges.
...
The research was conducted using a qualitative approach. The sample was composed of 14 specialists ranging from different key stakeholder groups. These key stakeholder groups were largely located in the higher rungs of the participation continuum, a model used in the stakeholder analysis which placed stakeholders along the continuum based on their level of participation in the SAF ecosystem. Semi-structured interviews then collected data, which were translated into codes. Using the Technological Innovation System (TIS) and its seven building blocks as a framework, all identified codes were grouped under one of the TIS building blocks. Based on this, three analyses were performed in parallel: barriers of SAF blending were identified, SAF production methods were compared against one another based on method-specific barriers, and strategic measures were formulated to overcome identified barriers alongside the actors who are responsible for enacting them. This, however, deviated from the TIS framework in the sense that it formulated a strategy for an entire industry and how stakeholders can collaborate as opposed to the formulation of a strategy for a single firm.
SAF blending above 50% is found to hold little to no priority among the SAF industry, which rather prioritizes upscaling of available capacity. This is because there is currently too little blend component available to achieve high blend percentages, regulatory limits do not instil an urgency to increase blends due to being small in number, and SAF supply methodologies are configured such that all SAF is blended to the bare minimum mandated. Only when such barriers are removed, and more blend component becomes available in the future, an increase in blend ratios and removal of the blend wall will be necessitated to achieve a higher sustainability impact of SAF in flight.
For SAF itself, it is found that the majority of TIS building blocks remain incompatible or partly incompatible. Product performance and quality are sufficient to some degree given that SAF can already be used in existing aircraft, but remain limited to blends of 50%. Product price is largely incompatible, the most cost-efficient SAF still being at least twice as expensive as conventional fuel due to energy-intensive processes and lack of technological maturity. The production system is similarly incompatible, projected to produce insufficient quantities of bio-SAF and e-SAF by 2030 due to long construction times and limited financial resources. Institutions and regulations are partly incompatible as they are widely in place but remain scattered and unclear. Network formation and coordination also remain partly incompatible, with limited participation and coordination concerning sustainability transitions. Uptake among customers remains limited due to their lack of knowledge and trust in SAF combined with the limited means by airlines to communicate. Only complementary infrastructure and services are fully compatible.
In terms of comparison between production methods, hydro-processed esters and fatty acids (HEFA) performs the best concerning product price and production system because it is a more mature technology. On the other hand, alcohol-to-jet (ATJ), catalytic hydrothermolysis jet (CHJ), and Fischer-Tropsch (FT) are still underdeveloped and more expensive, yet fall under the same mandated share of bio-SAF as HEFA, which causes them to be minimally stimulated. However, given HEFA’s limited impact due to its feedstock constraints, FT, ATJ, and CHJ technologies show future promise because they hold more potential with respect to unlocking the blend limit and have a larger pool of feedstock available. The same holds for synthetic SAF (e-SAF), although its energy-intensive processes remain a large bottleneck for future upscaling.
Paired with each identified key challenge comes an array of measures and actors that enables the industry to overcome these challenges. Mandates and regulations alongside incentives and subsidies most commonly contribute to bridging challenges concerning price, production system, and regulations. Meanwhile, product quality, performance, and infrastructure require further developments in technology and designated infrastructure. For network formation, stakeholder coordination, and customers, emphasis is more often placed on knowledge building and sharing, networking, and raising awareness. Depending on the context of the challenges and coupled measures, different levels of participation are required among stakeholders.
From these findings, the research reveals a comprehensive overview of barriers to large-scale SAF adoption. The application of the TIS framework in a multi-actor system broadens the perspective on barriers and strategies beyond the level of individual firms, illustrating that the strategies to help overcome the barriers are not enacted by a single stakeholder. Instead, to achieve the successful introduction of SAF, dynamic collaboration and coordination within the industry are required, with each stakeholder fulfilling different roles when faced with different challenges.
From Potential to Purchase: Investment Attractiveness of Hydrogen Trucks
An operator-centred study in heavy-duty road freight
Employee-Driven Innovation in Aviation Maintenance
A Case Study at KLM Engineering & Maintenance
Flying Towards a Digital Twin
Designing a Digital Twin Maturity Assessment Framework for Airport Turnaround Operations
This thesis addresses the following research question: Which maturity assessment framework can guide the development of digital twins in airport turnaround operations?
To answer this question, this thesis develops a digital twin maturity assessment framework for airport turnaround operations. The research follows a Design Science Research approach, in which the problem is first explicated, requirements are derived from literature, and a framework is developed, refined, demonstrated, and evaluated through expert feedback. The resulting framework combines a baseline category and five maturity levels: Digital Model, Digital Shadow, Monitoring Twin, Predictive Twin, and Optimizing Twin. It assesses internal maturity across six dimensions: Data Infrastructure, System Integration, Predictive and Analytical Capability, Operational Decision Optimisation, Operational Situation Visibility, and Human Interaction and Trust. In addition, the framework distinguishes these internal capabilities from external implementation constraints, including data access, commercial sensitivity, decision rights, workflow integration, accountability, and safety.
The framework was demonstrated in the Schiphol context and evaluated with feedback from Schiphol and Vancouver International Airport. The demonstration showed that the framework can support a structured discussion about current capabilities, limitations, and development priorities. It also showed that maturity can differ across dimensions and may be limited by external implementation conditions. The main contribution of this thesis is therefore a context-specific assessment framework that helps airports move beyond the question of whether they have a digital twin, towards understanding what the digital twin can support, what limits its use in practice, and what should develop next. ...
This thesis addresses the following research question: Which maturity assessment framework can guide the development of digital twins in airport turnaround operations?
To answer this question, this thesis develops a digital twin maturity assessment framework for airport turnaround operations. The research follows a Design Science Research approach, in which the problem is first explicated, requirements are derived from literature, and a framework is developed, refined, demonstrated, and evaluated through expert feedback. The resulting framework combines a baseline category and five maturity levels: Digital Model, Digital Shadow, Monitoring Twin, Predictive Twin, and Optimizing Twin. It assesses internal maturity across six dimensions: Data Infrastructure, System Integration, Predictive and Analytical Capability, Operational Decision Optimisation, Operational Situation Visibility, and Human Interaction and Trust. In addition, the framework distinguishes these internal capabilities from external implementation constraints, including data access, commercial sensitivity, decision rights, workflow integration, accountability, and safety.
The framework was demonstrated in the Schiphol context and evaluated with feedback from Schiphol and Vancouver International Airport. The demonstration showed that the framework can support a structured discussion about current capabilities, limitations, and development priorities. It also showed that maturity can differ across dimensions and may be limited by external implementation conditions. The main contribution of this thesis is therefore a context-specific assessment framework that helps airports move beyond the question of whether they have a digital twin, towards understanding what the digital twin can support, what limits its use in practice, and what should develop next.
The Influence of Temporal Patterns on Young Women's Perceived Safety
A Multisensory Perspective on Experiences in Larger Railway Stations
This research aimed to deepen the understanding of temporal factors and sensory experiences at railway stations. Women aged 18 to 35 were the target group, as they are both the largest user group of Dutch public transport and the group that feels most unsafe there, making them experts in their own experiences. Larger railway stations were selected as the research setting because multiple modes of transport and facilities converge there. Preliminary observations provided a strong understanding of temporalities and sensory factors, while interviews with seventeen young women generated rich insights. Through thematic analysis, the temporal and sensory factors were investigated.
Day-night cycles are considered the most influential temporal pattern, especially when people are absent and social incivilities are perceived as present, such as loud talking or screaming, and the smell of alcohol or weed. The smell of urine also evokes unsafe feelings. Construction periods affect both social and environmental factors by reducing visibility, lighting, and the presence of people. Rush hours and shop opening hours determine how many people are at a station, adding to the lively sounds of railway stations, while weather and seasonal shifts mostly influence people’s mood rather than their perceived safety directly. Social factors appear most influenced by temporal patterns, with environmental factors playing a supporting role. This study highlights the influence of temporal patterns on perceived safety and its multisensory experience, with sight most notable, followed by sound and smell. These findings informed practical recommendations for designing railway stations that better accommodate the
temporal and sensory experiences of young women. ...
This research aimed to deepen the understanding of temporal factors and sensory experiences at railway stations. Women aged 18 to 35 were the target group, as they are both the largest user group of Dutch public transport and the group that feels most unsafe there, making them experts in their own experiences. Larger railway stations were selected as the research setting because multiple modes of transport and facilities converge there. Preliminary observations provided a strong understanding of temporalities and sensory factors, while interviews with seventeen young women generated rich insights. Through thematic analysis, the temporal and sensory factors were investigated.
Day-night cycles are considered the most influential temporal pattern, especially when people are absent and social incivilities are perceived as present, such as loud talking or screaming, and the smell of alcohol or weed. The smell of urine also evokes unsafe feelings. Construction periods affect both social and environmental factors by reducing visibility, lighting, and the presence of people. Rush hours and shop opening hours determine how many people are at a station, adding to the lively sounds of railway stations, while weather and seasonal shifts mostly influence people’s mood rather than their perceived safety directly. Social factors appear most influenced by temporal patterns, with environmental factors playing a supporting role. This study highlights the influence of temporal patterns on perceived safety and its multisensory experience, with sight most notable, followed by sound and smell. These findings informed practical recommendations for designing railway stations that better accommodate the
temporal and sensory experiences of young women.
Not Just a Stop: Understanding Safety at Small Train Stations
A Qualitative study on perceived safety and coping behavior at small Dutch railway stations
The findings reveal how perceived safety is shaped by multidimensional and overlapping dynamics between temporal, spatial, social, and personal factors. Temporal conditions, particularly evening and nighttime travel, as well as gender identity, act as an amplifying lens through which the other factors are interpreted and experienced. Moreover, travelers identifying as women frequently adopted coping behaviors, such as arranging pick-ups or calling someone, thereby relying on their social networks. Travelers identifying as men often described their gender as a protective factor. Furthermore, the interviews with experts indicated that institutional dynamics, including fragmented responsibilities and difficulties regarding data sharing, further complicate the specific contexts of small railway stations that influence perceived safety.
At the same time, current monitoring tools do not include the complex nature of experienced safety and the related dynamics between the different factors influencing it. This study suggests that small railway stations deserve more attention in governance and monitoring frameworks. Creating station environments where travelers feel comfortable contributes to positive travel experiences and highlights perceived safety as a crucial condition for realizing equal mobility and accessibility. ...
The findings reveal how perceived safety is shaped by multidimensional and overlapping dynamics between temporal, spatial, social, and personal factors. Temporal conditions, particularly evening and nighttime travel, as well as gender identity, act as an amplifying lens through which the other factors are interpreted and experienced. Moreover, travelers identifying as women frequently adopted coping behaviors, such as arranging pick-ups or calling someone, thereby relying on their social networks. Travelers identifying as men often described their gender as a protective factor. Furthermore, the interviews with experts indicated that institutional dynamics, including fragmented responsibilities and difficulties regarding data sharing, further complicate the specific contexts of small railway stations that influence perceived safety.
At the same time, current monitoring tools do not include the complex nature of experienced safety and the related dynamics between the different factors influencing it. This study suggests that small railway stations deserve more attention in governance and monitoring frameworks. Creating station environments where travelers feel comfortable contributes to positive travel experiences and highlights perceived safety as a crucial condition for realizing equal mobility and accessibility.
Exploring the Feasibility of offering a GDP-Compliant Medicine E-Commerce Fulfilment Service
A Case Study at PostNL Fulfilment
The results show that pharmaceutical logistics in the Netherlands are regulated by a pharmacy-focused licensing system based on roles and locations, in which pharmacists remain responsible for dispensing medicines and ensuring patient safety. Non-pharmaceutical participation is therefore only possible through carefully regulated hybrid arrangements that ensure compliance with GDP, verifiable separation of responsibilities and robust contractual oversight. While none of the examined scenarios are explicitly on legal basis, the feasibility decreases as the executing party's role becomes more similar to that of a full logistics back office, comparable to the operational structure typically observed in conventional non-pharmaceutical fulfilment services. This is due to interpretative grey areas at the interface between dispensing and logistics, as well as the centralisation of multiple pharmacies and the associated distribution of roles and medication flows. Market feasibility is greatest in predictable segments with large volumes (e.g. repeat prescriptions), although it remains structurally constrained by the highly regulated nature of the pharmaceutical supply chain, which is characterised by a limited number of dominant actors who largely shape market access and operational conditions. In general, scalable implementation requires step-by-step expansion and clarification of regulations/legislation and governance designs that can be monitored and audited.
...
The results show that pharmaceutical logistics in the Netherlands are regulated by a pharmacy-focused licensing system based on roles and locations, in which pharmacists remain responsible for dispensing medicines and ensuring patient safety. Non-pharmaceutical participation is therefore only possible through carefully regulated hybrid arrangements that ensure compliance with GDP, verifiable separation of responsibilities and robust contractual oversight. While none of the examined scenarios are explicitly on legal basis, the feasibility decreases as the executing party's role becomes more similar to that of a full logistics back office, comparable to the operational structure typically observed in conventional non-pharmaceutical fulfilment services. This is due to interpretative grey areas at the interface between dispensing and logistics, as well as the centralisation of multiple pharmacies and the associated distribution of roles and medication flows. Market feasibility is greatest in predictable segments with large volumes (e.g. repeat prescriptions), although it remains structurally constrained by the highly regulated nature of the pharmaceutical supply chain, which is characterised by a limited number of dominant actors who largely shape market access and operational conditions. In general, scalable implementation requires step-by-step expansion and clarification of regulations/legislation and governance designs that can be monitored and audited.
Quantifying the Effectiveness of Temporary Railway Timetables under Planned Track Closures
A Data-Driven Multi-Criteria Framework for Temporary Timetable Evaluation
...
How should your small railway station look like?
Defining people’s preferences through a digital participation approach for the design of four small railway stations along the Oude Lijn
Towards a Fair Zero-Emission Zone
Exploring Equity and Accessibility in Amsterdam's Path to Emission-Free Mobility
From Policy to Practice: Evaluating Mobility Hubs
Developing an ex-post evaluation method to assess the performance of urban mobility hubs in regard to their policy objectives
The study applies different methods, combining a literature review, policy analysis, expert interviews, and a case application. The literature review sets the theoretical foundation by examining sustainable mobility concepts and the role of mobility hubs in transport systems. Policy documents from the municipality of Amsterdam and the province of Noord-Holland were analysed to understand the goals and objectives behind the development of mobility hubs. These policy documents highlight broad ambitions such as enhancing accessibility, promoting modal shifts away from private car use, and improving public space. However, they often lack specific, measurable indicators for assessing effectiveness.
Empirical data was gathered through semi-structured expert interviews with municipal representatives, provinces and developers involved in mobility hub development. These interviews provided insights into the current practices, challenges, and expectations for evaluating the effectiveness of mobility hubs. The findings from the interviews informed the creation of the ex-post evaluation framework, which includes indicators for measuring the contribution of mobility hubs to societal goals. Further, it was revealed that current practices aimed for moving from monitoring towards evaluation.
A key aspect of this research was testing the evaluation framework through a case application of the Appeltjesmarkt mobility hub in Amsterdam. This case application examined the feasibility, relevance, and practicality of applying the framework to a real-world example. The findings revealed that quantitative data on usage is readily available, evaluating broader impacts such as changes in travel behaviour and social cohesion remains challenging. The case study also highlighted the importance of contextual factors, such as the urban setting and hub size, in influencing the evaluation process.
The research emphasises the need for adaptive, context-sensitive evaluation frameworks, that can account for the diversity of mobility hubs and their varying roles. The proposed framework provides a practical tool for municipalities and stakeholders to assess the effectiveness of mobility hubs and supports evidence-based decision-making in the development of mobility hubs. This study contributes to bridging the gap between policy ambitions and the actual performance of mobility hubs. ...
The study applies different methods, combining a literature review, policy analysis, expert interviews, and a case application. The literature review sets the theoretical foundation by examining sustainable mobility concepts and the role of mobility hubs in transport systems. Policy documents from the municipality of Amsterdam and the province of Noord-Holland were analysed to understand the goals and objectives behind the development of mobility hubs. These policy documents highlight broad ambitions such as enhancing accessibility, promoting modal shifts away from private car use, and improving public space. However, they often lack specific, measurable indicators for assessing effectiveness.
Empirical data was gathered through semi-structured expert interviews with municipal representatives, provinces and developers involved in mobility hub development. These interviews provided insights into the current practices, challenges, and expectations for evaluating the effectiveness of mobility hubs. The findings from the interviews informed the creation of the ex-post evaluation framework, which includes indicators for measuring the contribution of mobility hubs to societal goals. Further, it was revealed that current practices aimed for moving from monitoring towards evaluation.
A key aspect of this research was testing the evaluation framework through a case application of the Appeltjesmarkt mobility hub in Amsterdam. This case application examined the feasibility, relevance, and practicality of applying the framework to a real-world example. The findings revealed that quantitative data on usage is readily available, evaluating broader impacts such as changes in travel behaviour and social cohesion remains challenging. The case study also highlighted the importance of contextual factors, such as the urban setting and hub size, in influencing the evaluation process.
The research emphasises the need for adaptive, context-sensitive evaluation frameworks, that can account for the diversity of mobility hubs and their varying roles. The proposed framework provides a practical tool for municipalities and stakeholders to assess the effectiveness of mobility hubs and supports evidence-based decision-making in the development of mobility hubs. This study contributes to bridging the gap between policy ambitions and the actual performance of mobility hubs.
Public EV Charging Station Infrastructure Performance
A Model-Based Evaluation of Roll-out Strategies
In the Netherlands, early policy support and public–private cooperation have resulted in one of the most advanced EV charging ecosystems worldwide. However, as the market matures, local authorities face increasingly complex decisions regarding how to plan and manage charging infrastructure. PCSI deployment involves trade-offs between accessibility, economic viability, and system efficiency, while stakeholders operate under different governance models and local conditions. Despite the availability of planning tools and growing experience, uncertainty remains about how different roll-out strategies perform across diverse urban contexts.
This research evaluates how different PCSI roll-out strategies perform across varying urban-infrastructural contexts in the Netherlands. The objective is not to identify a single optimal strategy but to provide empirical insight into how strategy effectiveness depends on local conditions. The central research question is:
How do different roll-out strategies for public EV charging station infrastructure perform across varying urban-infrastructural profiles, as measured by key performance indicators?
To address this question, the study combines spatial, socio-economic, and operational data in a quantitative multiple-case study framework. Local authorities are first classified into urban profiles using a two-step clustering method based on neighbourhood-level data from Statistics Netherlands (CBS), including income, address density, and land area. Next, real-world roll-out strategies are identified from policy documents and categorised according to governance model (concession-based or open market) and planning style (reactive, strategic, or data-driven). Infrastructure performance is then evaluated using three key indicators derived from the NDW LINDA dataset: charging station utilisation rate, energy throughput, and number of unique users. These indicators are combined into a composite performance index and statistically analysed using ANOVA and Tukey tests.
The results show that the effectiveness of roll-out strategies varies significantly across urban-infrastructural contexts. Data-driven and strategic planning approaches consistently outperform purely reactive request-based models in terms of utilisation and delivered energy. In dense urban environments, open-market governance models perform competitively due to increased innovation and network expansion by multiple charging point operators. In suburban and rural contexts, concession-based models provide greater stability and more equitable spatial coverage through coordinated planning.
Overall, the findings demonstrate that there is no universally optimal roll-out strategy. Instead, infrastructure performance depends on the alignment between governance structure, planning approach, and the spatial and socio-economic characteristics of local authorities. These results provide empirical evidence to support more context-sensitive planning of public EV charging infrastructure and contribute to improved decision-making for policymakers and infrastructure operators. ...
In the Netherlands, early policy support and public–private cooperation have resulted in one of the most advanced EV charging ecosystems worldwide. However, as the market matures, local authorities face increasingly complex decisions regarding how to plan and manage charging infrastructure. PCSI deployment involves trade-offs between accessibility, economic viability, and system efficiency, while stakeholders operate under different governance models and local conditions. Despite the availability of planning tools and growing experience, uncertainty remains about how different roll-out strategies perform across diverse urban contexts.
This research evaluates how different PCSI roll-out strategies perform across varying urban-infrastructural contexts in the Netherlands. The objective is not to identify a single optimal strategy but to provide empirical insight into how strategy effectiveness depends on local conditions. The central research question is:
How do different roll-out strategies for public EV charging station infrastructure perform across varying urban-infrastructural profiles, as measured by key performance indicators?
To address this question, the study combines spatial, socio-economic, and operational data in a quantitative multiple-case study framework. Local authorities are first classified into urban profiles using a two-step clustering method based on neighbourhood-level data from Statistics Netherlands (CBS), including income, address density, and land area. Next, real-world roll-out strategies are identified from policy documents and categorised according to governance model (concession-based or open market) and planning style (reactive, strategic, or data-driven). Infrastructure performance is then evaluated using three key indicators derived from the NDW LINDA dataset: charging station utilisation rate, energy throughput, and number of unique users. These indicators are combined into a composite performance index and statistically analysed using ANOVA and Tukey tests.
The results show that the effectiveness of roll-out strategies varies significantly across urban-infrastructural contexts. Data-driven and strategic planning approaches consistently outperform purely reactive request-based models in terms of utilisation and delivered energy. In dense urban environments, open-market governance models perform competitively due to increased innovation and network expansion by multiple charging point operators. In suburban and rural contexts, concession-based models provide greater stability and more equitable spatial coverage through coordinated planning.
Overall, the findings demonstrate that there is no universally optimal roll-out strategy. Instead, infrastructure performance depends on the alignment between governance structure, planning approach, and the spatial and socio-economic characteristics of local authorities. These results provide empirical evidence to support more context-sensitive planning of public EV charging infrastructure and contribute to improved decision-making for policymakers and infrastructure operators.
A Social Cost–Benefit Analysis of Energy Storage Systems on the Island of Tilos
Evaluating Vanadium Flow Battery and Hydrogen Storage as an Alternative
This thesis evaluates whether a hybrid system combining vanadium flow batteries (VFBs) with hydrogen storage (H-BESS) could deliver greater societal value than the existing NaNiCl₂ configuration. The analysis applies a Social Cost–Benefit Analysis (SCBA) framework, extending beyond techno-economic comparisons to include environmental and social impacts. Net Social Benefit (NSB) and Levelized Cost of Storage (LCOS) serve as the main decision metrics.
A MATLAB-based computational model simulated Tilos’ annual demand (3,108 MWh) and renewable supply (2,553 MWh) under three scenarios: pessimistic, balanced, and optimistic. Results show the hybrid system increases renewable utilization (90.1% vs. 85.4%), reduces curtailment (–118 MWh/year), and modestly improves energy autonomy. Economically, the hybrid system achieves lower LCOS in balanced (€510/MWh) and optimistic (€263/MWh) scenarios compared to NaNiCl₂ (€656–555/MWh). NSB outcomes range from –€156k (pessimistic) to +€990k (optimistic), with sensitivity analysis identifying VFB capital cost as the most critical factor.
Beyond economics, the hybrid system delivers additional societal value through CO₂ reductions (21.2 t/year), potential hydrogen use in other sectors and near-complete recyclability of vanadium electrolytes.
The study concludes that hybrid VFB–H₂ systems can provide superior societal benefits under favorable cost trajectories. Policymakers should consider phased deployment on Tilos and support measures for VFB cost reduction and hydrogen market development, with potential replication across other Greek islands. ...
This thesis evaluates whether a hybrid system combining vanadium flow batteries (VFBs) with hydrogen storage (H-BESS) could deliver greater societal value than the existing NaNiCl₂ configuration. The analysis applies a Social Cost–Benefit Analysis (SCBA) framework, extending beyond techno-economic comparisons to include environmental and social impacts. Net Social Benefit (NSB) and Levelized Cost of Storage (LCOS) serve as the main decision metrics.
A MATLAB-based computational model simulated Tilos’ annual demand (3,108 MWh) and renewable supply (2,553 MWh) under three scenarios: pessimistic, balanced, and optimistic. Results show the hybrid system increases renewable utilization (90.1% vs. 85.4%), reduces curtailment (–118 MWh/year), and modestly improves energy autonomy. Economically, the hybrid system achieves lower LCOS in balanced (€510/MWh) and optimistic (€263/MWh) scenarios compared to NaNiCl₂ (€656–555/MWh). NSB outcomes range from –€156k (pessimistic) to +€990k (optimistic), with sensitivity analysis identifying VFB capital cost as the most critical factor.
Beyond economics, the hybrid system delivers additional societal value through CO₂ reductions (21.2 t/year), potential hydrogen use in other sectors and near-complete recyclability of vanadium electrolytes.
The study concludes that hybrid VFB–H₂ systems can provide superior societal benefits under favorable cost trajectories. Policymakers should consider phased deployment on Tilos and support measures for VFB cost reduction and hydrogen market development, with potential replication across other Greek islands.
Yet, despite these high expectations, it remains difficult to determine whether such projects truly achieve their intended effects. A complication is the limited availability of ex-post evaluations. Large-scale infrastructure projects are typically judged by pre-opening forecasts, such as ridership projections or symbolic milestones, rather than by systematic ex-post, long-term analyses of social, economic, and spatial outcomes. Existing studies in Europe are relatively scarce. This lack of robust empirical evidence complicates the ability of policymakers to draw lessons for future projects such as the Lelylijn or the Nedersaksenlijn.
This research investigates whether public transport investments enhance the attractiveness of peripheral regions. Focusing on the Hanzelijn as a case study, it examines contextual conditions and mechanisms that shape regional development. The aim is to develop a conceptual model and identify the conditions under which such interventions succeed or fail, offering insights for policymakers and planners...... ...
Yet, despite these high expectations, it remains difficult to determine whether such projects truly achieve their intended effects. A complication is the limited availability of ex-post evaluations. Large-scale infrastructure projects are typically judged by pre-opening forecasts, such as ridership projections or symbolic milestones, rather than by systematic ex-post, long-term analyses of social, economic, and spatial outcomes. Existing studies in Europe are relatively scarce. This lack of robust empirical evidence complicates the ability of policymakers to draw lessons for future projects such as the Lelylijn or the Nedersaksenlijn.
This research investigates whether public transport investments enhance the attractiveness of peripheral regions. Focusing on the Hanzelijn as a case study, it examines contextual conditions and mechanisms that shape regional development. The aim is to develop a conceptual model and identify the conditions under which such interventions succeed or fail, offering insights for policymakers and planners......