Feature Selection Issues in Long-Term Travel Time Prediction

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Abstract

Long-term travel time predictions are crucial for tactical and operational public transport planning in schedule design and resource allocation tasks. Similarly to any regression task, its success considerably depend on an adequate feature selection framework. In this paper, we approach the myopia of the State-of-the-Art method RReliefF on mining relevant inter-relationships of the feature space relevant for reducing the entropy around the target variable on regression tasks. A comparative study was conducted using baseline regression methods and LASSO as a valid alternative to RReliefF. Experimental results obtained on a real-world case study uncovered the bias/variance reduction obtained by each approach, pointing out promising ideas on this research line.