Print Email Facebook Twitter Estimating coastal recession due to sea level rise: Beyond the Bruun rule Title Estimating coastal recession due to sea level rise: Beyond the Bruun rule Author Ranasinghe, R. Callaghan, D. Stive, M.J.F. Faculty Civil Engineering and Geosciences Department Hydraulic Engineering Date 2011-06-11 Abstract Accelerated sea level rise (SLR) in the twenty-first century will result in unprecedented coastal recession, threatening billions of dollars worth of coastal developments and infrastructure. Therefore, we cannot continue to dep nd on the highly uncertain coastal recession estimates obtained via the simple, deterministic method (Bruun rule) that has been widely used over the last 50 years. Furthermore, the emergence of risk management style coastal planning frameworks is now requiring probabilistic (rather than deterministic, single value) estimates of coastal recession. This paper describes the development and application of a process based model (PCR model) which provides probabilistic estimates of SLR driven coastal recession. The PCR model is proposed as a more appropriate and defensible method for determining coastal recession due to SLR for planning purposes in the twenty-first century and beyond. To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:f2f3cc95-84c8-4bb7-bf50-d182709ff1cc DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0107-8 Publisher Springer ISSN 0165-0009 Source http://www.springerlink.com/content/y887817j488mr315/ Source Climatic change, 110(Apr.)2012 Part of collection Institutional Repository Document type journal article Rights (c)2012 The Author(s). This article is published with open access at Springerlink.com Files PDF 2012-94Rasanshinge.pdf 399.23 KB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:f2f3cc95-84c8-4bb7-bf50-d182709ff1cc/datastream/OBJ/view