Probabilistic Analysis of Failures Mechanisms of Large Dams

Risk and reliability analysis is presently being performed in almost all fields of engineering depending upon the specific field and its particular area. Probabilistic risk analysis (PRA), also called quantitative risk analysis (QRA) is a central feature of hydraulic engineering structural design. Actually, probabilistic methods, which consider...

Development and prototype application of an oil spill risk analysis in a coastal zone

This paper introduces the development of a methodology for performance of oil spill risk analysis in coastal zones through a prototype application. The main objective of the research effort is to develop the basis for a tool that can assess risks due to the occurrence of an oil spill event aiming at assisting to the risk response process. The...

The Causes and Mechanisms of Historical Dike Failures in the Netherlands

In a historical perspective, flood protection in the past was not given high priority - plague and periods of famine and war took precedence. Poverty and a lack of knowledge made it difficult to create safer dikes. Dike engineering did improve in Napoleonic era due to the French Central Government, but many dikes still failed. A historical...

Vergelijking van afslagrisico's kustzone met risico's elders in Nederland

Om een beeld te krijgen van de relatieve omvang van het risico verbonden met afslag aan de kust heeft RIKZ het initiatief genomen voor het laten uitvoeren van een onderzoek gericht op een vergelijking van de risico’s in de afslagzone met watergebonden risico’s elders in Nederland. Met watergebonden risico’s worden de risico’s bij overstroming...

Waterbouwkundige kunstwerken - eilanden in de IJszee

Overzicht van kunstmatige eilanden t.b.v. de oliewinning in arctische gebieden (rond de Noordpool, Beaufort Sea). Includes a risk analysis for such an island

Dicea Risk analysis in the design of coastal structures

Basic lecture on risk analysis for the design of coastal structures.

What is acceptable risk?

The acceptable failure probability of technical structures and systems is studied in this paper. The problem is approached from two points of view : the personal and the societal point of view. The different view points of acceptable risk lead to different criteria, although the basis of both is a cost/benefit analysis. Two trains of thought,...