Advancing catchment hydrology to deal with predictions under change

Throughout its historical development, hydrology as an earth science, but especially as a problem-centred engineering discipline has largely relied (quite successfully) on the assumption of stationarity. This includes assuming time invariance of boundary conditions such as climate, system configurations such as land use, topography and...

Intra-annual rainfall variability control on interannual variability of catchment water balance: A stochastic analysis

We evaluate the extent to which within-year rainfall variability controls interannual variability of catchment water balance. To this end, we analytically derive the probability density function of the annual Budyko evaporation index, B (i.e., the ratio of annual actual evapotranspiration to annual precipitation), by accounting for the...

Climate, soil, and vegetation controls on the temporal variability of vadose zone transport

Temporal patterns of solute transport and transformation through the vadose zone are driven by the stochastic variability of water fluxes. This is determined by the hydrologic filtering of precipitation variability into infiltration, storage, drainage, and evapotranspiration. In this work we develop a framework for examining the role of the...

Comparative hydrology across AmeriFlux sites: The variable roles of climate, vegetation, and groundwater

Watersheds can be characterized as complex space?time filters that transform incoming fluxes of energy, water, and nutrients into variable output signals. The behavior of these filters is driven by climate, geomorphology, and ecology and, accordingly, varies from site to site. We investigated this variation by exploring the behavior of...

Functional model of water balance variability at the catchment scale: 1. Evidence of hydrologic similarity and space-time symmetry

This paper presents analysis of annual water balance variability, (1) regional (between-catchment) variability and (2) between-year (interannual) variability and the symmetry between the two. This involved analysis of the annual water balance in terms of a two-stage partitioning, first, of annual precipitation into quick flow and soil wetting...

Functional model of water balance variability at the catchment scale: 2. Elasticity of fast and slow runoff components to precipitation change in the continental United States

Assessing the sensitivity of annual streamflow to precipitation is challenging due to the complexity of the processes that control the water balance. A low-dimensional model can be useful to interrogate data in regional assessments of a large number of catchments, and can provide insights into the broad similarities and differences between...

The future of hydrology: An evolving science for a changing world

Human activities exert global-scale impacts on our environment with significant implications for freshwater-driven services and hazards for humans and nature. Our approach to the science of hydrology needs to significantly change so that we can understand and predict these implications. Such an adjustment is a necessary prerequisite for the...