Semantic Modeling of Ship Behavior in Cognitive Space

Ship behavior is the semantic expression of corresponding trajectory in spatial-temporal space. The intelligent identification of ship behavior is critical for safety supervision in the waterborne transport. In particular, the complicated behavior reflects the long-term intentions of a ship, but it is challenging to recognize it automatically...

Long-term viscoelastic deformation monitoring of a concrete dam: A multi-output surrogate model approach for parameter identification

Dam safety monitoring has become an important topic and is critical for evaluating a dam's safety status. This study focuses on identifying the mechanical properties of a concrete dam from long-term viscoelastic deformation monitoring data. A novel inversion framework is proposed in which a surrogate model, instead of the finite element model,...

BN-SLIM: A Bayesian network methodology for human reliability assessment based on Success Likelihood Index Method (SLIM)

Success Likelihood Index Model (SLIM) is one of the widely-used deterministic techniques in human reliability assessment especially when data is insufficient. However, this method suffers from epistemic uncertainty as it extremely relies on expert judgment for determining the model parameters such as the rates and weights of the performance...

Ranking uncertainty: Wave climate variability versus model uncertainty in probabilistic assessment of coastline change

Sand nourishments are increasingly applied as adaptive coastal protection measures. Predictions of the evolution of these nourishments and their impact on the surrounding coastline contain many uncertainties. The sources that add to this uncertainty can be delineated between intrinsic and epistemic uncertainty, i.e. inevitably in the system or...

An integrated methodology for the supply reliability analysis of multi-product pipeline systems under pumps failure

As the main way for the long-distance transportation of refined products, multi-products pipelines are of vital importance to the regional energy security. The supply reliability evaluation of multi-product pipeline systems can improve the effective response to unexpected disruptions and guarantee the reliable oil supply. Based on reliability...

A Science Mapping Review of Human and Organizational Factors in Structural Reliability

In the structural safety field, it is widely acknowledged that human error is the major contributor to structural failure. Since Human and Organizational Factors (HOFs) are critical latent conditions that can lead to human errors and further structural failures, it is essential to study into HOFs in the building industry to prevent the...

Developing a Platform for Traffic Data Analysis

Scenwise is a business working on innovative and sophisticated solutions in the domain of traffic management. Leveraging data science and IT systems, Scenwise delivers products to institutions to facilitate efficient traffic management. In order to manage the highly complex network of infrastructure on the road network, traffic managers need to...

A systemic hazard analysis and management process for the concept design phase of an autonomous vessel

Autonomous vessels have become a topic of high interest for the maritime transport industry. Recent progress in the development of technologies enabling autonomous systems has fostered the idea that autonomous vessels will soon be a reality. However, before the first autonomous vessel can be released into her actual context of operation, it...

Time-Varying Risk Measurement for Ship Collision Prevention

We propose an innovative time-varying collision risk (TCR) measurement for ship collision prevention in this article. The proposed measurement considers the level of danger of the approaching ships and the capability of a ship to prevent collisions. We define the TCR as the probability of the overlap of ships’ positions in the future, given...

Frequency Analysis of Storm-Surge-Induced Flooding for the Huangpu River in Shanghai, China

Shanghai, as a coastal city, is vulnerable to various types of flooding. The floodwalls along the Huangpu River provide protection against typhoon-induced flooding. However, there is limited insight into the actual safety level of the flood defences in Shanghai, and recent failures have highlighted their vulnerability. Therefore, the aims of...

Risk-based decision-making for evacuation in case of imminent threat of flooding

It is important for decision-makers in emergency response situations to determine the scope, scale, timing, path and resettlement area of an evacuation decision when there is an imminent threat of flooding. In this paper, a method called the "Evacuation Diagram" is described to support risk-based evacuation planning and decision-making. In...

Deriving proper uniform priors for regression coefficients, Parts I, II, and III

It is a relatively well-known fact that in problems of Bayesian model selection, improper priors should, in general, be avoided. In this paper we will derive and discuss a collection of four proper uniform priors which lie on an ascending scale of informativeness. It will turn out that these priors lead us to evidences that are closely...

A Risk Analysis for Asset Management Considering Climate Change

This paper presents an optimization framework for highway infrastructure elements that integrates risk profiles (for infrastructures) and economic aspects. One main goal is to assess the necessary additional effort to satisfy performance constraints under different scenarios of climate change. In order to be easily deployable by national road...

Reliability-based analysis of river dikes during flood waves

Reliability and risk analyses are basic approaches, nowadays, for flood risk assessments in European countries such as the Netherlands, German, United Kingdom, etc. The methods also receive a lot of interest in developing countries. By considering uncertainties for both load and strength variables, the probability of failure for each element of...

Re-analysis of European flight load data