Modeling for transition management

A framework for the modeling and simulation of transitions is presented. A transition, “substantial change in the state of a socio-technical system”, typically unfolds over a long timespan. We therefore suggest to use simulation to inform transition managers on the effect of their decisions. Transition models preferably meet five functional...

On infrastructure network design with agent-based modelling

We have developed an agent-based model to optimize green-field network design in an industrial area. We aim to capture some of the deep uncertainties surrounding infrastructure design by modelling it developing specific ant colony optimizations. Hence, we propose a variety of extensions to our existing work, first ideas on how to realize them...

Adaptation of interconnected infrastructures to climate change: A socio-technical systems perspective

Climate change is likely to affect how society will function in this century. Because climate change effects may be severe, a next step is to study not only the effects on natural systems, but also the effects on built infrastructure systems and, in response to anticipated effects, the adaptation of those systems. Studies that discuss...

Agent-Based Simulations of Energy Transitions

The notion of transition receives noticeable attention in political as well as scientific arenas. In the policy arena in the Netherlands, significant results have not been achieved yet despite all the efforts on ‘managing’ the transition to a sustainable energy sector. Although the scientific literature on transitions contains publications from...

Modeling the adaptation of infrastructures to prevent the effects of climate change: An overview of existing literature

Climate change is likely to affect our infrastructures and, consequently, the way society interacts with these infrastructures. For instance, higher average temperatures increase the need for electricity delivered through the grid in the summer due to augmented air-conditioning. As the scientific consensus is that climate change effects may be...