Cholera in Zimbabwe

Conference paper (2009)

Authors

E. Pruyt

Department

Multi Actor Systems () (TU Delft)

Cholera System dynamics Epidemics Zimbabwe

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Published Date

26-07-2009

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Source:

Proceedings of the 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Albuquerque, USA 26-30 July 2009

Faculty

Technology, Policy and Management

Department

Multi Actor Systems

Abstract

By the end of December 2008, alarming reports and articles concerning the cholera outbreak in Zimbabwe received plenty of international media coverage. By that time nearly 30000 cases of cholera infections and 1600 cholera deaths had been reported. In the first week of January 2009, a System Dynamics simulation model related to this cholera epidemic was created which was subsequently turned into a ‘hot’ testing/teaching case. Although the model contains some bold assumptions which require further research, the issue and dynamics are sufficiently important and interesting to be presented here. This case is a System Dynamics study with a special focus on exploring dynamics and uncertainties.

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