Objective To assess the relationship between cam morphology and the development of radiographic hip osteoarthritis (RHOA), overall and in subgroups based on age, biological sex and body mass index (BMI). Methods Hips with no RHOA at baseline and with available follow-up during 4–8 years were selected from the Worldwide Collaboration on Osteoarthritis PrediCtion for the Hip (World COACH) consortium. Alpha angles were uniformly measured on anteroposterior radiographs, with a threshold of 60° used to define cam morphology. Incident RHOA was defined as the transition from an RHOA-free state at baseline to definite diagnosis of RHOA at follow-up. The association between baseline cam morphology and the development of RHOA was assessed using a three-level mixed-effects logistic regression model, accounting for hip side, individual and cohort-level variation. Results A total of 23 886 hips were included (mean age: 62.2±8.4 years; 70.6% female; BMI: 27.4±4.5; mean time to follow-up: 6.1±3.0 years). Cam morphology was associated with RHOA (OR: 1.87, 95%CI 1.36 to 2.59), as was a greater alpha angle (OR 1.02, 95%CI 1.01 to 1.03 for every degree increase). The overall relative risk of developing RHOA in hips with cam morphology was 1.62 (95%CI 1.26 to 2.07), greatest for those aged 51–60 years (2.15, 95%CI 1.55 to 2.98) and higher in males (2.50, 95%CI 1.67 to 3.73), compared with females (1.75,95%CI 1.24 to 2.48). Conclusion Hips with cam morphology have higher odds of developing RHOA within 4–8 years compared with hips without cam morphology. The relative risk was highest in subgroups of participants aged 51–60 years and in males, making cam morphology a potential target for primary or secondary prevention of RHOA.

Purpose Hip osteoarthritis (OA) is a major cause of pain and disability worldwide. Lack of effective therapies may reflect poor knowledge on its aetiology and risk factors, and result in the management of end-stage hip OA with costly joint replacement. The Worldwide Collaboration on OsteoArthritis prediCtion for the Hip (World COACH) consortium was established to pool and harmonise individual participant data from prospective cohort studies. The consortium aims to better understand determinants and risk factors for the development and progression of hip OA, to optimise and automate methods for (imaging) analysis, and to develop a personalised prediction model for hip OA. Participants World COACH aimed to include participants of prospective cohort studies with ≥200 participants, that have hip imaging data available from at least 2 time points at least 4 years apart. All individual participant data, including clinical data, imaging (data), biochemical markers, questionnaires and genetic data, were collected and pooled into a single, individual-level database. Findings to date World COACH currently consists of 9 cohorts, with 38 021 participants aged 18–80 years at baseline. Overall, 71% of the participants were women and mean baseline age was 65.3±8.6 years. Over 34 000 participants had baseline pelvic radiographs available, and over 22 000 had an additional pelvic radiograph after 8–12 years of follow-up. Even longer radiographic follow-up (15–25 years) is available for over 6000 of these participants.

Background and purpose — Being able to predict the hip–knee–ankle angle (HKAA) from standard knee radiographs allows studies on malalignment in cohorts lacking full-limb radiography. We aimed to develop an automated image analysis pipeline to measure the femoro-tibial angle (FTA) from standard knee radiographs and test various FTA definitions to predict the HKAA. Patients and methods — We included 110 pairs of standard knee and full-limb radiographs. Automatic search algorithms found anatomic landmarks on standard knee radiographs. Based on these landmarks, the FTA was automatically calculated according to 9 different definitions (6 described in the literature and 3 newly developed). Pearson and intra-class correlation coefficient [ICC]) were determined between the FTA and HKAA as measured on full-limb radiographs. Subsequently, the top 4 FTA definitions were used to predict the HKAA in a 5-fold cross-validation setting. Results — Across all pairs of images, the Pearson correlations between FTA and HKAA ranged between 0.83 and 0.90. The ICC values from 0.83 to 0.90. In the cross-validation experiments to predict the HKAA, these values decreased only minimally. The mean absolute error for the best method to predict the HKAA from standard knee radiographs was 1.8° (SD 1.3). Interpretation — We showed that the HKAA can be automatically predicted from standard knee radiographs with fair accuracy and high correlation compared with the true HKAA. Therefore, this method enables research of the relationship between malalignment and knee pathology in large (epidemiological) studies lacking full-limb radiography.

Objective: To design an automated workflow for hip radiographs focused on joint shape and tests its prognostic value for future hip osteoarthritis. Design: We used baseline and 8-year follow-up data from 1,002 participants of the CHECK-study. The primary outcome was definite radiographic hip osteoarthritis (rHOA) (Kellgren–Lawrence grade ≥2 or joint replacement) at 8-year follow-up. We designed a method to automatically segment the hip joint from radiographs. Subsequently, we applied machine learning algorithms (elastic net with automated parameter optimization) to provide the Shape-Score, a single value describing the risk for future rHOA based solely on joint shape. We built and internally validated prediction models using baseline demographics, physical examination, and radiologists scores and tested the added prognostic value of the Shape-Score using Area-Under-the-Curve (AUC). Missing data was imputed by multiple imputation by chained equations. Only hips with pain in the corresponding leg were included. Results: 84% were female, mean age was 56 (±5.1) years, mean BMI 26.3 (±4.2). Of 1,044 hips with pain at baseline and complete follow-up, 143 showed radiographic osteoarthritis and 42 were replaced. 91.5% of the hips had follow-up data available. The Shape-Score was a significant predictor of rHOA (odds ratio per decimal increase 5.21, 95%-CI (3.74–7.24)). The prediction model using demographics, physical examination, and radiologists scores demonstrated an AUC of 0.795, 95%-CI (0.757–0.834). After addition of the Shape-Score the AUC rose to 0.864, 95%-CI (0.833–0.895). Conclusions: Our Shape-Score, automatically derived from radiographs using a novel machine learning workflow, may strongly improve risk prediction in hip osteoarthritis.