Recurrent major depressive disorder (rMDD) is a relapsing-remitting disease with high morbidity and a 5-year risk of recurrence of up to 80%. This was a prospective pilot study to examine the potential diagnostic and prognostic value of targeted plasma metabolomics in the care of patients with rMDD in remission. We used an established LC-MS/MS platform to measure 399 metabolites in 68 subjects with rMDD (n = 45 females and 23 males) in antidepressant-free remission and 59 age- and sex-matched controls (n = 40 females and 19 males). Patients were then followed prospectively for 2.5 years. Metabolomics explained up to 43% of the phenotypic variance. The strongest biomarkers were gender specific. 80% of the metabolic predictors of recurrence in both males and females belonged to 6 pathways: (1) phospholipids, (2) sphingomyelins, (3) glycosphingolipids, (4) eicosanoids, (5) microbiome, and (6) purines. These changes traced to altered mitochondrial regulation of cellular redox, signaling, energy, and lipid metabolism. Metabolomics identified a chemical endophenotype that could be used to stratify rrMDD patients at greatest risk for recurrence with an accuracy over 0.90 (95%CI = 0.69–1.0). Power calculations suggest that a validation study of at least 198 females and 198 males (99 cases and 99 controls each) will be needed to confirm these results. Although a small study, these results are the first to show the potential utility of metabolomics in assisting with the important clinical challenge of prospectively identifying the patients at greatest risk of recurrence of a depressive episode and those who are at lower risk.

Objective: Omega-3 (n-3) and omega-6 (n-6) polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) alterations in patients with major depressive disorder (MDD) have been shown to persist after remission. Whether these alterations are risk factors for MDD recurrence remains unknown. Here, we examined whether fatty acids predict time until MDD recurrence in remitted MDD patients. Methods: Data were used from remitted MDD patients of the Netherlands Study of Depression and Anxiety (n = 356) and the Depression Evaluation Longitudinal Therapy Assessment studies (n = 118). Associations of FAs with time until MDD recurrence up to 8-year follow-up were analyzed using Cox regression analyses. Study-specific estimates were pooled using mega- and meta-analysis techniques. Results: 27.5% (NESDA) and 56.8% (DELTA) participants had an MDD recurrence. Pooled results showed that no FA was significantly associated with time until MDD recurrence (n-3 PUFAs: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.98–1.41, P = 0.082; n-6 PUFAs: HR = 1.08, 95% CI = 0.84–1.38, P = 0.55). Conclusion: In remitted MDD patients, circulating PUFAs were not associated with prospective risk of MDD recurrence. Consequently, circulating PUFAs are unlikely to reflect a vulnerability marker for recurrence, so correcting n-3 PUFA ‘deficits’ through supplementation does not seem a promising option to prevent MDD recurrence.

Background: Alterations in hypothalamic–pituitary–adrenal (HPA)-axis activity, fatty acid metabolism, and their relation have been associated with (recurrent) major depressive disorder (MDD), although conflicting findings exist. Aims: To determine whether alterations in HPA-axis activity and fatty acids in recurrent MDD remain during remission (i.e. reflect a potential trait factor). Furthermore, to test the association between HPA-axis activity and fatty acids in patients versus controls. Methods: We cross-sectionally compared 73 remitted unmedicated recurrent MDD patients with 46 matched never-depressed controls. Measurements included salivary cortisol and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEAS) (awakening, evening, and after sad mood induction) and erythrocyte fatty acid parameters: (I) three main fatty acids [omega-3 docosahexaenoic acid (DHA), and the omega-3 eicosapentaenoic acid/omega-6 arachidonic acid (EPA/AA)-ratio], and (II) structural fatty acid indices [chain length, unsaturation and peroxidation]. Results: Patients showed higher cortisol awakening responses (p = 0.006) and lower evening cortisol/DHEAS ratios (p = 0.044) compared to matched controls. Fatty acids did not differ between patients and controls, but HPA-axis indicators were significantly associated with fatty acid parameters in both groups (0.001 ≤ p ≤ 0.043). Patients and controls significantly differed in the relations between awakening DHEAS or cortisol/DHEAS ratios and fatty acid parameters, including unsaturation and peroxidation indices (0.001≤ p ≤ 0.034). Significance remained after correction for confounders. Conclusions: Our results further support alterations in HPA-axis activity, i.e. a lower baseline, but higher responsiveness of awakening cortisol, in remitted medication-free recurrent MDD patients. Furthermore, the relationship between HPA-axis and fatty acids showed significant differences in recurrent MDD patients versus controls. Prospective research is needed to determine the predictive value of this relationship for MDD recurrence.