Using the Classical Model for Source Attribution of Pathogen-Caused Illnesses
Lessons from Conducting an Ample Structured Expert Judgment Study
Elizabeth Beshearse (U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, University of Florida)
Gabriela F. Nane (TU Delft - Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science)
Arie H. Havelaar (University of Florida)
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Abstract
A recent ample Structured Expert Judgment (SEJ) study quantified the source attribution of 33 distinct pathogens in the United States. The source attribution for five transmission pathways: food, water, animal contact, person-to-person, and environment has been considered. This chapter will detail how SEJ has been applied to answer questions of interest by discussing the process used, strengths identified, and lessons learned from designing a large SEJ study. The focus will be on the undertaken steps that have prepared the expert elicitation.