Perception-Driven Tube Scaling for State-Dependent Dynamic Tube-Based MPC

Application to disturbance-aware search and rescue scenarios

Bachelor Thesis (2026)
Author(s)

F.O.B. Keerberg (TU Delft - Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science)

Contributor(s)

A. Jamshidnejad – Mentor (TU Delft - Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science)

S. Schoonebeek – Mentor (TU Delft - Mechanical Engineering)

L. Cavalcante Siebert – Graduation committee member (TU Delft - Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science)

Faculty
Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science
More Info
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Publication Year
2026
Language
English
Graduation Date
24-06-2026
Awarding Institution
Delft University of Technology
Project
CSE3000 Research Project
Programme
Computer Science and Engineering
Faculty
Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science
Page Views
51
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Abstract

Effective autonomous search and rescue (SaR) requires safe and efficient traversal of hazardous regions. While model predictive control (MPC) offers a solid framework for controlling an autonomous agent, the robust tube MPC (TMPC) approach sacrifices too much performance, especially where disturbance probabilities vary spatially. Current approaches to address this problem explore varying tube size in scenarios with perfect information, but none test whether local perception of the environment can be used to dynamically scale tube size to reduce conservativeness adaptively. A state-dependent dynamic TMPC (SDD-TMPC) formulation is proposed, scaling tube dynamically on perceived disturbance risk and confidence. Three controllers: MPC, TMPC, SDD-TMPC, are tested over 250 seeded SaR simulations, with additional runs introducing noise into perceived disturbance risk to assess the formulation's robustness. SDD-TMPC is shown to substantially outperform TMPC (odds-ratio (OR)=40.0) while maintaining 0 wall/victim collisions, operating in TMPC mode only 32.3\% of the time. Robustness and performance advantage are retained under perceived noise of magnitudes up to 0.2, however, 0.4 is identified as the boundary where this no longer holds. Overall, this suggests that perception-based tube scaling is a promising direction for autonomous agents.

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