Different Parameterizations of the Initial Ensemble for a Channelized Reservoir in an Assisted History Matching Context

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to determine an actual optimal solution through cyclic optimization of CO2-Gas Assisted Gravity Drainage (GAGD) process in a heterogeneous sandstone reservoir under geological uncertainties. We propose an integrated approach to optimize durations of gas injection, soaking, and oil production under geological uncertainties. Therefore, 100 stochastic reservoir realizations of the 3D permeability and porosity distributions were created honouring geological constraints. Ranking was applied through quantifying of reservoir oil response to select P10, P50, and, P90 that represent the overall reservoir uncertainty. More than 400 training simulation runs were created including the durations and geological uncertainty parameters through Latin Hypercube Design to build the second-order proxy model along with approximately 200 extra verification runs. The verification runs led to keep the solutions in global optima and obtain satisfactory proxy model through an iterative validation procedure. The cyclic optimization has shown its feasibility to increase oil recovery through the GAGD process from 71.5% to 75.5% with incremental cumulative oil production of 225 million barrels. The presented robust optimization workflow under geological uncertainties led to higher recovery factor than nominal realization optimization with providing degrees of freedom for the decision-maker to significantly reduce the project risk.