Asymmetric impacts of European transmission network development towards 2050

Stakeholder assessment based on IRENE-40 scenarios

Journal article (2016)

Authors

D Pudjianto Imperial College London
M. Castro Imperial College London
Goran Strbac Imperial College London
Z. Liu Intelligent Electrical Power Grids - EEMCS
L. van der Sluis Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science
G. Papaefthymiou Intelligent Electrical Power Grids - EEMCS , Ecofys Germany
Research Group
Intelligent Electrical Power Grids (EEMCS) (TU Delft)
European transmission network investment IRENE-40 Stakeholder impacts Asymmetric impact Generation/demand scenarios
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Published Date

2016

Language

English

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Faculty

Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science

Department

Electrical Sustainable Energy

Research Group

Intelligent Electrical Power Grids

Abstract

This paper presents the assessment of stakeholder impacts of European electricity transmission network investments for a set of future system development scenarios. A techno-economic analysis is adopted, which quantifies the economic impacts on different stakeholders including electricity producers, consumers, and network investors, under the future de-carbonisation pathways described in the IRENE-40 scenarios, ranging from 2010 to 2050. To quantify the impact of transmission infrastructure development, for each pathway, two distinct scenarios of future European transmission development are assessed: “low” (no new transmission between 2010 and 2050) and “high” (optimal transmission development between 2010 and 2050 to accommodate the generation pathway).
The geographical scope of the analysis covers the EU 27+2 nations. A detailed case study of Spain and France is presented to illustrate the so-called ‘asymmetric’ impacts towards different stakeholders in different importing and exporting zones. The resulting arbitrage trades shift the market equilibriums, which eventually affect asymmetrically the welfare of stakeholders.