Predicting change propagation in complex design workflows

Abstract

A simulation model to help manage change propagation through design workflows is introduced. The model predicts resource requirements and schedule risk of a change process, accounting for concurrency, multiple sources of change, and iterations during redesign. Visualizations provide insight to answer common management questions. The approach is illustrated using an aircraft design workflow from Airbus and a more complex turbine disk design workflow from Rolls-Royce.