Focusing on differences across scenarios could lead to bad adaptation policy advice
Journal Article
(2021)
Author(s)
Bramka Arga Jafino (TU Delft - Policy Analysis)
Stephane Hallegatte (World Bank)
Julie Rozenberg (World Bank)
DOI related publication
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01030-9
Final published version
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Publication Year
2021
Language
English
Journal title
Nature Climate Change
Issue number
5
Volume number
11
Pages (from-to)
394-396
Downloads counter
184
Abstract
As development and adaptation are closely intertwined, assessing the benefits of adaptation by focusing only on how it reduces climate impacts could lead to misleading policy advice. In some cases, trying to minimize climate impacts could lead to inferior outcomes. It is preferable to explore how policies influence the absolute level of metrics of interest in scenarios with climate change rather than to focus on how they influence incremental climate impacts.