Time-dependence of subsidence above a producing gas reservoir with salt top seal

A finite element model study of the role of salt flow

Journal Article (2026)
Author(s)

George Marketos (COWI A/S)

Taco Broerse (TU Delft - Civil Engineering & Geosciences)

Christopher J. Spiers (Universiteit Utrecht)

Rob Govers (Universiteit Utrecht)

Research Group
Physical and Space Geodesy
DOI related publication
https://doi.org/10.1306/11122520175 Final published version
More Info
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Publication Year
2026
Language
English
Research Group
Physical and Space Geodesy
Journal title
AAPG Bulletin
Issue number
2
Volume number
110
Pages (from-to)
143-163
Downloads counter
6
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Abstract

Numerous producing and actively subsiding gas fields worldwide have salt top seals, but surface subsidence records exist for very few. This paper summarizes both reservoir pore pressure data and subsidence measurements obtained for a salt-sealed gas field in northern Europe. The data indicate a time dependence in subsidence evolution, with subsidence rates remaining relatively constant, while pore pressure depletion rates decrease. The creep of the thick, overlying salt may play a part in causing this timedependence. The present work assesses salt creep flow’s role in controlling the evolution of subsidence through finite element models. Salt creep effects are investigated in isolation, and independently of other factors, incorporating uncertainty in salt flow mechanisms and rheology. Comparing model results with field subsidence measurements suggests that salt flow can account for part of the timedependent subsidence observed but cannot fully explain the field data, a finding that is also potentially important for other salt-sealed reservoirs around the world. Another important conclusion of the current study is that additional mechanisms that can lead to timedependent subsidence must be active in the field studied.

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